Ukraine will never be able to join NATO, but will be able to count on a security guarantee modeled on Article 5, which would commit US and European allies to treat an attack on Ukraine as an attack on the entire "transatlantic community." A non-aggression pact between Kiev, Russia and Europe, while Donbass will officially become Russian. The Ukrainian army should consist of a maximum of 600 thousand units (today, they are almost double) and European fighter jets will be deployed to Poland to protect Ukraine. Furthermore, the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant will be reactivated under the supervision of the IAEA, the World Atomic Energy Agency, but the electricity produced will be split 50/50 between Russia and Ukraine. Kiev will have to hold new elections within 100 days.
These are some of the key points of the peace plan agreed by the United States and Russia, without consulting either Ukraine or Europe. The result is a project divided into 28 points and very unbalanced in favor of Moscow which, according to what is reported by Financial TimesDonald Trump's administration would like to bring it home within a few days. The newspaper reveals that the US is in fact exerting strong pressure on Ukraine, asking it to accept a peace plan. by Thanksgiving Day, November 27. Zelensky has so far said he is open to negotiations, while Rustem Umerov, Secretary of the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council, who was in the US last week, stated: "The peace plan discussion continues today in Kiev. We are carefully studying all our partners' proposals, expecting the same correct attitude toward Ukraine's position. Media reports about alleged 'agreements' or 'removals of clauses' have nothing to do with reality."
The US-Russia plan
Axios This morning he published a second draft of the plan. Point number one: Ukraine's sovereignty will be confirmed and Zelensky (point 5) will receive security guarantees (not further specified) for his country from the United States. The plan also provides that Russia, Ukraine and Europe sign a non-aggression pact (point 2) and that “all the ambiguities of the last 30 years will be considered resolved”.
Furthermore, Moscow will have to enshrine in law its non-aggression policy toward Europe and Ukraine. It also states that it is "expected" that Russia will not invade neighboring countries and that NATO will not expand further. To ensure all this, a dialogue will be held between Moscow and the Atlantic Alliance, mediated by the United States, "to resolve all security issues and create conditions for de-escalation in order to ensure global security and increase opportunities for cooperation and future economic development."
NATO and the European Union
Ukraine will have to agree to enshrine in its Constitution that will never join NATO and the Alliance will have to insert in its statute that Kiev will not be admitted in the future and will have to agree not to deploy troops in Ukraine. Instead, they will be stationed European jets in Poland to protect Kiev.
From a second draft of the plan, released by axios, It emerges that the US peace plan for Ukraine includes a security guarantee modeled on Article 5 NATO, which would commit U.S. and European allies to treat an attack on Ukraine as an attack on the entire "transatlantic community." It states that any future "significant, deliberate, and sustained armed attack" by Russia against Ukraine "will be considered an attack threatening the peace and security of the transatlantic community," and that the U.S. and allies will respond accordingly. The security guarantee would have an initial term of 10 years and could be renewed by mutual agreement, writes axes
Ukraine will therefore have to renounce NATO, but it will be able to join the European Union. During the accession process, Kiev will be granted short-term preferential access to the European market.
The territories
Russia will have sovereignty over the entire Donbass (Moscow currently occupies 86% of the territory), which would however remain a demilitarized region, where Putin's troops could not be deployed.
In the regions Kherson and ZaporizhzhyaInstead, the current front lines would be frozen, and Moscow would be prepared to make some limited territorial concessions that need to be negotiated. It is, however, taken for granted that Kiev will renounce its sovereignty over Crimea, which it seized 11 years ago.
Reconstruction and economic agreements
From an economic point of view, the plan foresees the creation of a Development Fund for Ukraine to invest in fast-growing sectors, including technology, data centers, and artificial intelligence. The United States will cooperate to rebuild, develop, modernize, and jointly operate Ukraine's gas infrastructure, including pipelines and storage facilities. Investments will be made $100 billion in Russian assets frozen and Washington will receive 50% of the profits from this initiative. Europe will add $100 billion and the remaining portion of the frozen Russian funds will be invested under a separate agreement between the United States and Russia. Moscow to rejoin the G8, sanctions against it will be lifted and it will have to agree to extend the validity of the treaties on the non-proliferation and control of nuclear weapons, including START. Russia will also not have to hinder the use of the Dnipro River on the part of Ukraine for trade activities and agreements will be reached for the free transportation of grain across the Black Sea.
Zaporizhzhya and the army and the elections
Point 6 of the agreement establishes that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will have to be reduced to 600.000 units (point 6). Ukraine will have to agree to be a non-nuclear state in accordance with the Non-Proliferation Treaty. Zaporizhzhya Central It will be launched under the supervision of the IAEA, and the electricity produced will be shared equally between Russia and Ukraine. Finally, all parties involved in the conflict will be granted an amnesty, meaning that Russia cannot be prosecuted for war crimes, as requested by many. Within 100 days of the agreement, Ukraine will have to: new electionsi, a condition that Zelensky had accepted on the condition of a total ceasefire.
“Thisagreement is legally binding", states point 27. "Its implementation will be monitored and ensured by a Peace Council, led by President Donald Trump. In case of violation, sanctions will be imposed." The 28th point instead establishes that "Once all parties have accepted this memorandum, the ceasefire will come into effect immediately after the withdrawal of the two parties at the agreed points to begin the implementation of the agreement".
The EU counterplan
According to the Wall Street Journal, European leaders are preparing their own counter-offer on how to end the war in Ukraine with alternative terms to the American plan, and are trying to convince Ukraine to support their plan, which is designed to be more favorable to Kiev. Europe, the newspaper continues, hopes to have the plan ready within a few days, but Kiev has so far not committed to adhering to it.
