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Last weeks of life for the Monti government which will then lead the country to elections on 10 March

Alfano confirms to Napolitano the exit of the PDL from the majority and the consequent end of the Monti government but also the commitment to pass the stability law - The Executive will still live a couple of weeks, then the consultations of the Quirinale and the Chambers in mid-January - Political elections on 10 March with the Lombardy regional ones

Last weeks of life for the Monti government which will then lead the country to elections on 10 March

After his morning conversation with the President of the Republic, Angelino Alfano spoke to the Chamber for an explanation of vote on the decree on the costs of politics and was particularly clear, stating that for the PDL the experience of the Monti government should be considered concluded. Government crisis then? The crisis is certainly in the facts, since Silvio Berlusconi's return to the field as candidate for prime minister was announced. It is in fact, given the wholly populist and wholly anti-European platform heralded by the Knight and by his followers and by his loyalists. And that both in fact was also confirmed by the tones with which both Bersani and Casini used in their respective speeches to the Chamber, in which they bluntly accused Berlusconi and the PDL of absolute irresponsibility.

However, a formal opening of the crisis is lacking, because the President of the Republic Giorgio Napolitano, trying to curb and anticipate the precipitation of events, is already in informal consultations with the parties. Thus he first received Alfano, and subsequently the program includes Bersani and Casini. That they are something more than informal consultations is demonstrated by the fact that among his interlocutors the head of state also meets the presidents of the Senate Schifani and Fini of the Chamber. After all, Prime Minister Mario Monti himself, who preferred to stay in Milan for an interview (skipped due to the snow) with Barroso and to attend the premiere of La Scala, explained that in order to draw his own conclusions, he wants to wait for the results of the interviews of Napolitano.

It must also be said that, replying to Bersani and Casini, Angelino Alfano, albeit in a very rough speech, said that the PDL is anything but irresponsible and for this reason he gave an abstention on the trust placed by the Government on the stability decree, because otherwise we would have gone to the provisional budget year. In short, in his own way, even the PDL does not completely drop Napolitano's appeal "so that everything doesn't go down the drain and find a form of cooperation for an orderly and not hasty and not convulsive conclusion of the Legislature".

If this is the state of the art, one can imagine a path in which the Chamber could definitively approve the stability law on 18 December (the non-approval of which would have highly negative effects on our international credibility). At that point the Chambers could be dissolved in mid-January (Monti would remain in office for the period of the electoral campaign) allowing for the vote for policies on March 10 and March 11. On that date, the regional elections of Molise and Lombardy would also be voted on, while in Lazio the consultations would be held on 3 and 4 February, according to the resolution of a sentence of the TAR. In the meantime, it is very unlikely that anything can be done to change the electoral law for two reasons: relations between the parties are so tense that a compromise is highly unlikely; Berlusconi needs the Porcellum which allows him to have an almost absolute right in the choice of candidates, in order to be able to keep the party united. As evidenced by the rapid retreat of those colonels who had also tried to overcome the hypothesis of yet another candidacy of the founder.

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