Chinese New Year ruined. The world in suspense. The Bags that leak tens of billions of dollars. The coronavirus has already claimed many lives, in addition to the confirmed dead. But is it him or are we the ones who have caused so many disasters? Rhetorical question.
With the 41 deaths ascertained so far, the coronavirus actually adds only a few drops to the physiological Chinese demographic dynamics. Indeed, those unfortunates disappear into the sea of deaths that normally occur in China. With a population of 1,4 billion inhabitants, and a mortality rate of 7,4 people per thousand, the deaths per year are 10,4 million; that means 28.391 a day, one death every 3 seconds.
Obviously there are also births: every 14 seconds a new Chinese baby cries out of the mother's womb, for a total of 6,2 million a year.
In terms of business there is no question: funerals beat cradles, which can be reused, while coffins are disposable. But cradles carry consumers who will spend and spend for 76 years, while the deceased will limit themselves to occupying a couple of square meters of land (provided they have not left instructions for cremation).
Returning to the real danger, the new coronavirus (the old one only produces an annoying cold) is almost harmless. The percentage of people who are killed by it is very very low, much lower than that of SARS which in 2003 threw the globe into panic and which in the end caused 774 deaths. Or much less than those caused by a trivial flu: 2100 so far this season in the USA alone, out of 4,6 million patients; in Italy there were 5 deaths from the flu; but the world and the financial markets don't even consider them.
The panic that has been generated around the new coronavirus is a typical case of lose-lose game, that is, everyone forgives us. Except the media, which have found the front pages (material or virtual) as owners and bombard the public with news, attracting their attention. We imagine that online advertising will be very well paid if placed alongside everything related to news about this micro-epidemic.
Shakespeare would say: much ado about nothing. And we, more modestly, conclude that the media are the spreaders (virtual) twenty-first century.
Kudos for the foresight and for the firm statement based on nothing
A peroooo !!! I see that the journalist is good at maths but who does the math? shame on the fake numbers
Still convinced of the scarce danger of the coronavirus?
1,4 billion inhabitants! trillion in Italian translates as billions, trillions are 10^6 times more
Actually in English One trillion is one thousand billion, so it's not even a translation error.
Then it is not clear how 7,4% of that number could be 10,4 million…
Objectively, I will believe Paolazzi's words after he has posted a video in which he kisses a lot of infected people in China. Because writing from a distance makes it easy to be big…
The percentage of deaths from coronavirus infections is 2,8%, that of normal seasonal flu is close to 10% (source: WHO). The rest is ideological chatter in the morning at the bar with white bicèrin and elbow on the counter.
Still sure of what you're saying?
Absolutely certain: 3.900 deaths out of 7,7 billion people in over four months, of which 3.042 in China alone due to poor hospital conditions. Average age of the deceased 81 and a half years. While collective hysteria leads to the closure of the world, over 8.000 people in the last year in Italy have died of 'normal' flu. The fact that you are afraid of sneezing doesn't change reality. Greetings.
Always convinced? Are we all still unmotivated hysterics? 18.849 dead in Italy in 48 days. Do you still feel like making comparisons and judgements?
1,4 TRILLION inhabitants? I stopped here to read. Shame on the author of the article!!