It really seems like a matter of hours, a few days at the most, for the formation of the new Lega-5 Stelle government. But what kind of government will it be? Which government "contract" will be brought to the attention of President Sergio Mattarella first and then of Parliament? In fact, among the many nodes of the nascent executive, there is not only that of the premier and the team of ministers: the distribution of seats and responsibilities remains a key passage (in which Colle also plays a role, who will want to have a say in the matter on the Ministry of Economy and on relations with the EU), but how will Lega and Movimento 5 Stelle deal with the contents, which on more than one occasion, during the electoral campaign, have been antithetical to each other? If it is true that Matteo Salvini and Luigi Di Maio are united by a common propensity to be anti-system, there is no shortage of grounds for divergence, more or less insurmountable: from taxes to basic income, from telecommunications to energy, up to to foreign policy.
PENSIONS AND VAT
This is the most peaceful point, on which there will be no difficulty in converging: indeed, in particular on the stop the Fornero law Lega and Grillini definitely speak the same language. The abolition of the reform launched under the Monti government will be one of the cornerstones of the next government, together with the deactivation of the safeguards for the VAT increase and a new anti-corruption law. As far as pensions are concerned, the general idea is to go back to the old rules, i.e. those of the Quota 100, i.e. the sum of retirement age and years of contributions which must give a total of 100. Thus, with the canonical 40 years of contributions, one could retire as early as 60, while with Fornero the minimum age for early retirement is set on the basis of amount of contributions accumulated (not less than 41 years and 10 months for women; one year more for men except for wear and tear and precocious) . Estimated cost of the operation: 100 billion in the five years of the legislature.
TAX AND FLAT TAX
The flat tax, i.e. the tax equal for everyone at 15%, considered an obvious advantage for the richest, will necessarily be shelved. The grillini obviously don't like it and insist on including a progressive mechanism as enshrined in the Constitution in any case, in any reform. The meeting points on the tax authorities will instead be the simplification and digitization of procedures and rigorous taxation for the giants of the web, or rather the multinationals of the Internet that often ended up in the eye of the storm for events related to tax avoidance. The tax reform, according to the plans of both parties, will be aimed at the benefit of the middle class and small and medium-sized enterprises.
BASIC INCOME
If Salvini will have to take a step back on the flat tax, it is also clear that Di Maio will be forced to do the same, in a sort of equal compromise, on the basic income. The project will be scaled down and will consist, vaguely, of giving support to families, young people and reducing pockets of poverty in the country, especially in the South (which, not surprisingly, voted en masse for the 5 Stars). Just Wednesday, Istat released the figure according to which there are 5 million Italians in a state of absolute poverty, 8,3% of residents. In any case, the theme convinces Salvini up to a certain point, also for the costs: a basic income or something similar would cost up to 30 billion and would be too much a welfare measure for the Carroccio's tastes.
ENERGY AND UTILITY
A very hot topic, which has already had repercussions on the financial markets, with stocks in the energy sector which in the session of Thursday 10 May, on the news of a government about to form itself, recorded considerable losses. Equita explained why: the M5S program includes the halt to the privatization of water with the possible removal of the authority's powers in the sector, the opposition to waste-to-energy plants and above all the halt to the liberalization of protected customers, currently scheduled for July 2019 and whose eventual halt would worry operators a lot. The League acts as a counterpart, which has diametrically opposed ideas on these issues: but how will they find an agreement?
FOREIGN POLICY
It is one of the great unknowns of the future government. While on the one hand Lega and 5 Stars are theoretically united by a sovereignist vision (on which, however President Mattarella has already intervened, suggesting a possible confrontation, even harsh on the subject, during the assignment of the assignment), it is also true that their worlds of reference are very distant: Salvini is linked to the Kremlin, therefore maximum harmony with Russia and no sanctions; Di Maio, on the other hand, who initially expressed more extremist positions against Europe, has recently opened up to peaceful fidelity to NATO, revealing an Atlanticist turn to say the least. In any case, the issue is a loose cannon: a few days ago, in fact, Grillo himself returned to office, once again waving the bogeyman of an anti-euro referendum.
IMMIGRATION
The topic is a passion of the League, but neither does the 5 Star Movement mind if it is inserted in a broader discourse on security, and not only on the fight against uncontrolled immigration. On this ground there should be few misunderstandings, even if the position of the center-right party is decidedly more extreme: Salvini has repeatedly said that he wants to expel 600 illegal immigrants, a proposal which in any case does not see the grillini against. Di Maio himself, last summer, waged a harsh campaign against the phenomenon of "sea taxis", i.e. the NGOs accused of being in cahoots with Libyan smugglers.
COMMUNICATIONS AND TV
On this front, the hidden but very intrusive role of Forza Italia and Silvio Berlusconi is back in play. The former knight, albeit very reluctantly, gave the green light to the League to form a government with Grillo without affecting the centre-right alliance. Forza Italia will remain strictly outside the majority, but will somehow make itself heard on some choices. This is why it is presumable that the League will want the Ministry of Economic Development for itself, which deals with telecommunications and therefore with the events related to Mediaset. And that's why the rule on conflict of interest, which the M5S would not wait to do to counter Berlusconi, will probably be put on the back burner. Then there is the game of Rai appointments, within which the current president of the Chamber Roberto Fico, grillino, has had a significant weight in recent years. A revolution is foreseen ("Away with all the directors of the Tg", announced Di Maio), but Rai is not the only public company to be reorganized: there are also the new heads of the Cassa Depositi e Loans, eg.
