From finance to football in an instant. The well-known American investment bank Goldman Sachs has dedicated a study to the upcoming Brazilian World Cup, also risking the prediction of the winners: without too many surprises, it will be Brazil, the host country and actually among the favourites, to win the Cup.
The global finance giant has in fact shifted its attention for a moment from the market to the stadiums, focusing, again in the field of forecasting, on the outcome of the next football competition. It's Italy? According to the precise and targeted analysis by Goldman Sachs, the team led by Claudio Prandelli will find themselves the winners of their group at the expense of Uruguay (with a victory in the direct match given at 2,40 for the Azzurri), and will also overtake Colombia in the round of XNUMX. However, the race for the Italian flag will stop, as we all fear, when it comes to meeting Spain in the quarter-finals.
Inauspicious forecasts also for the African teams and for England, which will be eliminated in the group of Italy. The victory will therefore go to Brazil, which will beat its South American rival Argentina in the final in a match that, this time, will leave aside the Brazilian real and the Argentine peso. But how did the American bank arrive at these – not so shocking – forecasts? In the 2014 World Cup and Economics report, Goldman Sachs wanted to use statistics in the field of football, with a forecasting model already used in 2010: at the time, the results of the analysis had led to once again attributing a greater probability of success to Brazil , followed by what were then the actual finalists of the competition, Spain and Holland.
