Everything is played between Rome and Milan and between Matteo Renzi and Beppe Grillo. It will not be a national test that of the administrative elections in the main ones in Italy but it does have a general political value. And in the ring there are only two protagonists: Prime Minister Matteo Renzi and the head of the 5 Star Movement, Beppe Grillo. The rest is not irrelevant, but certainly secondary.
Berlusconi, Salvini and Meloni are at stake for the hegemony of the centre-right, Fassina wants to demonstrate that to the left of the Democratic Party there is an electoral and political space for the maximalist left, Turin, Bologna, Naples are important electoral squares: all true, but the highlight of the June 5 challenge is one and only one. Who wins between Renzi and Grillo? The result is the antechamber of the constitutional referendum in October or the electoral challenge of the next policies.
The litmus test on Renzi's or Grillo's victory is clear. The Premier wins if he scores Beppe Sala in Milan and maintains the leadership of the centre-left in the economic and moral capital of Italy and if he brings Roberto Giachetti at least to the ballot for mayor of Rome. If these two objectives are achieved, or at least one of the two, Renzi leaves the administrative offices with his head held high: otherwise Turin or Bologna won't hold up. In the event of a defeat in Milan and Rome, it would be pain for the Premier.
For Grillo, however, there is only one challenge: Rome. After having been in the lead in the polls for a long time, either Virginia Raggi becomes mayor of the capital or the disappointment will be bitter for the grillini. But the match of the 5-star Movement does not end there: assuming and not granted that Raggi really becomes mayor of Rome, the grillini will no longer have an alibi. Either they will perform the miracle of being able to demonstrate that they know how to administer one of the most difficult cities in Italy or their star will inexorably go out. And not just in the capital.
