A study by Cà Foscari published in the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics contains a predictive model that relates the effects of sanctions, duties and conflicts on global trade
The Trump administration's initiative to introduce additional duties on imports into the US of various products from China was censored by the WTO with a decision that did not arouse surprise among insiders: here's why
Washington confirms tariffs against Europe, which so far has not complied with the WTO ruling on the Airbus case - The list of products affected by the tariffs is modified, but made in Italy food and wine are saved
While the US trade deficit increases and China's growth slows down, Trump has reopened the negotiating table, without however touching one of the points of greatest tension: the subsidies provided by Beijing to encourage exports
Trump threatens to raise tariffs on European cars if France, Germany and the UK do not accuse Iran of nuclear power - Oil on the rise, utilities do well
The tariff agreement does not convince the markets: only Wall Street is running - Fever for the Bund and Btp - Atlantia suffers - New all-time high for Terna: 6,10 euros per share
Weak price lists in the middle of the day, after the US-China agreement is proving to be not so complete - Atlantia collapses: signs of revocation of concessions? - Germany grew by 0,6% in 2019, the lowest level since 2013.
This afternoon the US and China sign the tariff agreement, which will start in November: is it real peace or just a truce? - Record earnings by JP Morgan - BlackRock battles sustainability - The Treasury launches the thirty-year BTP
All ready for the signing of the US-China agreement on Wednesday - This morning Asian stocks hit 19-month highs and the dollar rises against the yen - US quarterly reports are coming
The US-China trade peace risks altering global commodity flows and prices - The case of soy - Confagricoltura sounds the alarm
The year opens with a new injection of energy to Taurus coming from the Greats: China and the USA - Ghosn flees thanks to Gregorian chants - Atlantia under siege
The US-China tariff agreement pushes the markets - Piazza Affari is the best price list in Europe in 2019 - Today Banca Generali is back in the FTSE Mib
The agreement on duties galvanizes the Stock Exchanges - Piazza Affari breaks through the psychological threshold of 24 basis points - Sparks from Generali, Enel and Telecom Italia.
Markets euphoric after the announcement that the US and China will sign an agreement on tariffs in January - Pound sterling slows down - Intesa's entry into Piazza Affari gives Nexi the charge
USA and China cancel duties and tone up international markets - In Italy, the government saves Banca Popolare di Bari, while FCA and Peugeot prepare for the wedding of the car
Peace on duties and the defeat of British Labor's maximalism more than Brexit make the stock exchanges fly
Trump Signs Trade Deal Offer That Blocks New Tariffs From Going into Effect - Official Announcement Awaited - Here are the details of the agreement
Johnson's victory in the British elections sends the pound into orbit, while Wall Street and Asian stock exchanges celebrate the US-China agreement on tariffs - FCA-Peugeot signing soon
The escalation of trade tensions between the US and China increasingly involves the technological sphere, opening up new and surprising scenarios: what if the monopoly of Google & C. were broken within a few years?
In London today the last poll before the vote - Stalemate on US-China tariffs - Waiting for the Fed and ECB meetings - Bund and Btp advance
Start of the week marked by prudence in view of the key deadlines of the week - The pound soars - Only Stm rises among the Blue Chips in Milan - Lazio soars after the victory over Juve
A positive end of the year is looming for the stock markets in view of a first, albeit partial, agreement on duties between the USA and China - The Ftse Mib is back above 23 thousand - Kering (Gucci) aims at Moncler: Ruffini will say…
Even Wall Street follows suit and supports the rise in European price lists on the day of the NATO summit - Buzzi, Juve and the banks shine after Moody's in Milan - Utility recovery.
The American President hypothesizes the postponement of the trade agreement with China to after the presidential elections and puts France and Italy under fire for the web tax - Visco today speaks to the Chamber on negative rates - Unicredit and…
The flurry of tariffs threatened by Trump sends stock lists into the red - Piazza Affari defends itself and Gedi shines after the sale of the control package to Exor.
Trump unleashes the offensive on trade that affects Argentina, China, Brazil, France and soon also Italy, Austria and Turkey - Exor buys Gedi's newspapers - New Unicredit plan
Stock markets in the red on the day when Wall Street is closed for Thanksgiving - The Btp-Bund spread rises and Piazza Affari allows itself to take profits after the rises of recent days - Atlantia in difficulty.
Trump's declarations on tariffs with China give breath to European price lists but not to Piazza Affari - FCA in recovery - Nexi grows - Declining yield at Bot auction
It was President Trump who communicated that the agreement on tariffs is now one step away - The House removes the restrictions on the Pir which give impetus to the Star index of Piazza Affari - Football fever explodes
The grand relaunch of the Merger and Acquisition with the big deals of Tiffany and Novartis supports the rise of the markets - But the progress on tariffs and the Hong Kong vote also count
In her debut in the ECB, Lagarde confirms that she will continue the Draghi line but asks governments for more investments - Mediaset-Vivendi: there is no agreement - Managed in evidence - Tenaris, Diasorin, Fineco and CNH shine
European lists absorb the halt to the tariff agreement and Fiat Chrysler mitigates losses after the GM move - Banks do well - Another leap for As Roma
With a leap of almost 5% Nexi is the best stock of the Ftse Mib after the rumors about the negotiations for a strategic alliance with Intesa Sanpaolo - The Stock Exchange also collects the half EU go-ahead for the maneuver - Good…
US support for Hong Kong slows down negotiations and European stock markets slow down. Milan resumes after the EU yes to the maneuver - Rome football boom, Safilo leap - Intesa gives Nexi wings
On tariffs, the agreement between the US and China does not arrive, but Wall Street is at an all-time high – Meanwhile, however, the car crisis scares the markets
The Ilva crisis has repercussions on the country's general credibility and the BTP suffers while the spread with the German Bund widens to almost 170 bp - The markets are still betting on the approach of peace on tariffs
Trump disappoints the markets and does not announce anything new on the tariff negotiations with China, while the situation in Hong Kong is getting worse and scares the markets - Piazza Affari at the top and today the examination of…
Another day of sales is looming for BTPs, awaiting the auctions in the next few days - The agreement between the US and China on tariffs seems to be moving away - Mediobanca business plan and Enel accounts tomorrow
The lack of agreement between the US and China on duties is holding back the stock markets but Piazza Affari is in slightly positive territory: utilities and Telecom are running, banks are down.
The wind of peace that reigns between the US and China on tariffs pushes the markets to collect records - Wall Street skyrocketing, but Piazza Affari is no less - Ferrari and the Agnelli team (except Juve)…
The good performance of US employment and the optimism on the negotiations on tariffs reassure the markets - Great expectations for the Aramco IPO - Lagarde's debut at the ECB today - Ferrari's accounts are coming
At 6.01 this morning the US duties on European products were triggered - For Italy, Coldiretti calculates a drop in sales of 20% - Parmesan the most affected product
The winds of war in Syria, the stalemate over Brexit and the still distant tariff agreement are not holding back the markets, which are betting on the drop in the cost of money and on the good quarterly results
Mattarella called the tariffs announced by Trump against the EU "harmful and counterproductive" and reiterated the importance of NATO as a "NATO community" - The position on Turkey's intervention in Syria is also clear
The octogenarians have returned to dominate the stock market: Carlo De Benedetti wants to take back the Espresso and Repubblica groups, Del Vecchio wants to make Nagel's shoes in Mediobanca and Luciano Benetton deals on Atlantia-Alitalia - Half a cold shower on tariffs…
ALESSANDRO FUGNOLI, Kairos strategist traces, in his video column "Al 4° Piano", the economic and financial scenarios between now and the end of the year and for the start of 2020
The optimism on the positive conclusion of the US-China trade war and on the possible agreement for Brexit pushes the European lists. In Milan the banks are recovering and the Ftse Mib surpasses the 22.000 points. Juve and Cnh also did well. Oil on the rise.
Stock markets optimistic on the negotiations between the US and China and between the EU and the UK on Brexit - All stock markets are up sharply - Industrialists are flying to Milan, with Stm and Leonardo in the lead, the banks are brilliant
In defiance of the absurd offensive by the German and French hawks, the president of the ECB, Mario Draghi, today receives an honorary degree from the Catholic University of Milan - Del Vecchio: "No split of Generali from Mediobanca"
Italy is hit in the agri-food sector with ad valorem duties of 25% on a rather limited category of products (0,8% exported to the USA): the most affected are dairy products, for a value of 260 million, followed by spirits…
Wall Street gives impetus to European stock exchanges and points to a happy conclusion of the US-China negotiations - But the rise of some thick blue chips gives further oxygen to the Milan Stock Exchange.
The Washington-Beijing agreement on currencies, not on technology is close - Oil on the roller coaster - Brexit: a new postponement is looming - Greek Bots are also negative in the short term
Great expectations for tomorrow's tariff negotiations between the US and China - Stock markets all on the rise - At Piazza Affari Tim is the best stock of the Ftse Mib in the hope of the conversion of savings - Sales of utilities.
Indiscretions about the postponement of Brexit and the expectation of new expansionary measures from the Fed also pushed the lists - Campari goes shopping in Mexico - The BTP in dollars takes off.
The American central bank is ready to inject new capital into the economy but for the markets, which fear Brexit and tariffs, it is too little and the shadow of Trump's impeachment falls on Wall Street - The pound collapses
The improbability of an agreement in extremis between Europe and the United Kingdom shakes the stock exchanges, also tormented by the uncertainty on the US-China negotiations on duties - All share lists are in the red, including Piazza Affari: Diasorin and Fineco collapse - Okay…
The horizon of the financial markets remains uncertain and crossed by too many variables, ranging from duties to rates up to Brexit - Piazza Affari rediscovers the IPOs
Many cheeses (not only Parmigiano and Grana Padano), different types of meat and fish, but also fruit, citrus fruits and liqueurs: the list of Made in Italy food products that will be affected by the new American tariffs - Oil, pasta, wine are saved …
Faced with the new stock market turbulence linked to the tariff war, the unknown Brexit and the risks of recession, gold shines as it returns to rise above 1.500 dollars an ounce
The World Trade Organization has authorized the United States to impose duties on European products for 7,5 billion - Made in Italy exports, especially food, risk losing one billion a year
In addition to hitting Chinese companies, Trump plans to make Europe pay for aid to Airbus by imposing tariffs on EU exports - Saudi threatens to skyrocket oil prices - Maxi class action against Volkswagen
Record demand for Bots while the improvement in US-China duties pushes up the main stock lists - Piazza Affari gains 0,7% driven by A2A, Italgas, Hera and Juventus - sales on oil
The international regulation of cryptocurrencies will be the central theme of the Annual Meetings of the Monetary Fund, the last of Lagarde before her passage to lead the ECB
INTERVIEW WITH GIANNI TAMBURI, president and CEO of Tip - "Once again the disastrous vision of Italy has been defeated. There are good opportunities on the market and Draghi's message is clear: go ahead with equity" - "It is not justified …
Draghi's move on the new bazooka and the air of US-China understanding on tariffs give the stock exchanges a boost and Wall Street is one step away from the record - The banks celebrate
At today's meeting, the ECB should cut rates but Draghi will probably leave the launch of the new bazooka to Lagarde - He signals peace on tariffs between the US and China - London does not want to sell the stock exchange to…
In the latest update of its "Global Economic Outlook", the rating agency has made "significant downward revisions" to half the world's GDP for the next 18 months
S&P also promotes the new Italian government – China-USA: the dialogue restarts. Tokyo boom, yuan strengthens - Wall Street advances: "modest" growth for the Beige Book - Lagarde urges Germany to act
Wall Street opens lower due to the cold winds of the US-China trade war but also Brexit and the vote on the Italian government keep the markets on edge - The Btp-Bund differential however decreases in the hypothesis that in the end the Conte is born...
Today Wall Street is closed for holidays but the launch of new American tariffs on Chinese products weighs on the markets - Conte prepares the sprint for the new government - Tomorrow in London the last duel on Brexit
Repeated twists in the trade war between Trump and China - "It's my way of dealing" says the US President - The stock market awaits the white smoke on the Conte government
After the improvement announced by Trump on tariffs, the stock market rebounds: the FtseMib gains 0,9% mainly thanks to bank stocks - Juventus down sharply
The escalation of the tariff war, the Brexit nightmare and the many political crises (from Hong Kong to Italy) scare the markets, which are about to experience another difficult day - Gold strengthens, oil falls
Duties and fires in the Amazon, but also Brexit, are the hot topics of the G7 meeting underway in Biarritz, in the French Basque country. The outgoing Italian prime minister, Giuseppe Conte, is also taking part in the summit.
The tariff war escalates in the back and forth between China and the US - Beijing responds to Trump's squeeze and the US replies by announcing more tariffs on Chinese products from October XNUMX
The new tariffs will come into force in two tranches, the first on 1 September - Stock markets turn negative, Wall Street opens lower
The American President sends signals of relaxation to China on tariffs and promises a new tax cut - ECB ready to intervene against recessionary risks - Spotlight on Mediaset
The American President postpones the increase in tariffs on Chinese hi-tech products to December and the markets recover - Apple and Nike lead the recovery on Wall Street - Europe also awakens
For the first time in 11 years, the share price has fallen below the barrier of seven yuan per dollar
Share prices in deep red - Piazza Affari loses 2%, dragged down by Stm, CNH, Pirelli and Ferrari - Only utilities are saved.
Trump's new squeeze on Chinese products alarms the markets and all stock exchanges are paying for it - Milan loses 1,65% in the middle of the day - Spread at 210.
The US President relaunches the tariff war with China and thus hits the Fed - Stock markets all down - Rain of half-yearly reports on Piazza Affari - Gold superstar
The risk of new tensions on tariffs frightens the markets, all of which are in clear decline - Piazza Affari loses about 2% due to the sharp decline in the major stocks - Only Amplifon and Campari go against the trend.
The US President, awaiting a possible agreement with China, reopens the clash on tariffs with Europe - Yields on BTPs fall: ten-year bonds below 2% - Vola Mps
Attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz cause oil prices to soar - 600 US corporations ask Trump to end the tariff dispute with China - 64% of the new Btp 20 in the hands of…
All share prices on the rise in the wake of Wall Street - Sparks of Mediaset (+4,2%) and strong leaps of Ubi, Banco Bpm, Bper and Tenaris
The agreement announced by the American president envisages that the entry into force of the tariffs, scheduled for Monday 10 June, will be suspended. The Central American country will strengthen immigration controls.
The banks were counting on a greater injection of liquidity from the ECB - Truce on tariffs between the USA and Mexico - Ferrrari flies to Piazza Affari
The trade war winds are weighing on the markets: Beijing puts the Fed on the former blacklist - Macron asks for an extra coupon and the headquarters in France to say yes to FCA - EU response to Italy on Wednesday
The yield of Btp 5 exceeds that of Greece and Istat lowers its 0,1 GDP estimate to 2019% - The tariff war weighs on the stock exchanges and Piazza Affari pays the bill: -0,9%
In response to Washington's measures against Huawei, Beijing has threatened a rare earth embargo: a move potentially capable of bringing some key sectors of American industry to their knees. Here because
Expectations for government bond yields after the EU's strong appeal to Italy - New US-China skirmishes on tariffs - ECB prepares a new injection of liquidity
Black days for the stock exchanges both in Europe and in the USA - The Guardiola effect on Juve wears off and in the Ftse Mib (-2,12%, at its lowest in three months) only Italgas closes above parity.
China loses ground, India soars, tensions over tariffs do not stop - Pound collapses in the wake of the virtually open British political crisis - Post-vote uncertainties on Italy
The American bearish wave, which is affected by the new tensions on tariffs, also affects Piazza Affari (-0,61%) but the rumors about the possible arrival of Guardiola make Juve fly (+5,68%).
Trump eases friction with China and seeks to enlist Fed - League leader's surges on budgetary policy cast a shadow on Italy's credibility
After Black Monday, Asian stock markets rebound and so do the other stock markets in the wake of Trump's more moderate words on the tariff war, which also weighs on our spread
The harsh Chinese response on duties sends the financial markets into a tailspin - The Italian Stock Exchange is among the least worst but Stm, Leonardo and Moncler lose more than 4%
US-China Trade War Casts Sinister Light on Start of Financial Week - Asian Stocks Start in Red - Uber Smash - Bitcoin Recovers
VIDEO BY ALESSANDRO FUGNOLI, Kairos strategist, according to which after 4 months of increases the stock exchanges are consolidating but still have room to grow
