The economy remained weak in the first quarter of 2024 but is expected to strengthen in the coming months. Inflation is expected to remain stable before falling to 2% next year, despite the risk of a rise due to the war in…
Despite the challenges and uncertainties, SMEs appear ready to invest and grow, focusing on strategic sectors such as technology and personnel training. This is what emerges from Grant Thornton's latest International Business Report
Over the past few days, Mario Draghi gave a fascinating speech in Washington on the future, indicating a path that would allow Europe to understand new developments and govern them. The hope is to see him at the head of the EU after the elections in…
Growth will remain limited in the short term, then will recover thanks to higher real incomes and improved external demand. The PEPP program will close by the end of 2024
The majority of CEOs remain optimistic about the growth prospects of the global economy over the next three years. 70% say they want to invest in AI, despite concerns about ethical issues. But the return on investment is expected in just 3-5 years.…
Tomorrow on FIRSTonline the June economy hands by Fabrizio Galimberti and Luca Paolazzi will answer the questions posed by current economic affairs. Inflation or Offshoring: Who Will Win? Will Italian growth last and how important is the PNRR? And the rates, and the…
The International Monetary Fund is more cautious on global economic prospects after the turmoil at the Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse - And it warns: "High interest rates are weakening growth" - Estimates for Italy have also been updated
On some points of the program illustrated in Parliament, the new premier was clear and convincing while in other cases she appeared more uncertain, avoiding dissolving the contradictions between her past and the need to act with pragmatism.
Covid, inflation and war in Ukraine led World Bank to cut 2022 global growth outlook and plans to mobilize $170bn
INTERVIEW WITH ANTONIO CESARANO, chief global strategist of Intermonte Sim. As war rages on what is the best portfolio composition? And how can you protect your savings from rising inflation?
INTERVIEW WITH ANGELO CAMILLI, president of Unindustria - The anxieties and effects of war on industry in Rome and Lazio - The Rome Technopole project as an emblem of the turning point that the Capital and the Region are dreaming of
According to the economist FABRIZIO PAGANI, the Russian escalation in Ukraine could produce "heavy effects on the recovery" and on the increase in energy and raw material prices, but not on the debt
The Omicron variant is rampant in the world: the health consequences are milder, will the economic ones be the same? Will it be the last year of the pandemic? What challenges, by now not new, await us? Will the flood of inflation flow back into calm prices? Why rates are…
Intesa Sanpaolo's Studies and Research Department has published its 2022 outlook - Global growth slows down, but Italy recovers - Transient inflation, but it won't disappear quickly
In Beijing, increased regulatory scrutiny is the main brake on economic growth. GDP will increase on average between +3,8% and +4,9% over the next decade, while the Chinese economic slowdown will further increase the cost of trade and…
"Overcoming the recession and returning the world economy to a path of stable growth represent the condition without which it would be difficult to engage in the fight against poverty and contain inequality": this is what Pierluigi Ciocca, former Deputy General Manager…
THE HANDS OF THE ECONOMY OF NOVEMBER 2021 - The headwinds - from supply bottlenecks to fears of inflation - do not stop the recovery of the Italian economy. The Draghi-Franco support cure works, also for the potential. Public deficits in 2022 go…
Even more than public debt, low growth is the real cancer of the Italian economy - The comparisons of the last twenty years with other countries are merciless and expose the weakness of the Italian economy - Finally, even among bankers…
The latest Report of the Assonime Giunta Group deals with the theme of how to reconcile the improvement of environmental sustainability with economic growth and the competitiveness of businesses.
In the book "In the mirror of the school", published by il Mulino, the economist of the Prodian school analyzes the reasons why Italy is the country in Europe with the lowest levels of education, with the lowest percentage of graduates and with The…
Piazza Affari is the worst stock exchange in Europe (-1,52%) - The spread is growing and Moody's raises the alarm about Italy - Oil companies, banks and Leonardo drag down the Ftse Mib.
Latvian GDP fell by -9,2% compared to the last quarter of 2019 and the current account deficit (7,5%) is increasing. In addition to the Covid effect, the growth of loans to the private sector is being held back by the ABLV bank scandal.
The next Simplifications decree should contain the 120 billion Sbloccacantieri plan on which Matteo Renzi has been insisting for months to get the economy and employment back in motion - But it is also a good opportunity to contain landslides, mudslides, floods - The…
In his speech at Forex in Brescia, the Governor of the Bank of Italy raises the virus alarm for the economy and urges the Government to adopt a medium-long term economic policy that overcomes current weaknesses - But the banks will have to change…
the decline in GDP does not leave much hope for employment but the inversion of the relationship between permanent employees and fixed-term employees is striking: the primai continue to fall and the latter increase, reaching the highest number ever recorded and equal to 30…
Brussels revises downwards the data on the Italian economy, which between now and the next two years will confirm its position at the bottom of the EU - Moscovici on the manoeuvre: "Improved approach compared to last year, clarifications requested but we will not reject the Italian budget".
During 2020, a slight slowdown of the economy is expected (+3%), with a decrease in exports and investments. With inflation above 2% and public debt at 50% of GDP, future scenarios are weighed down by the shortage of manpower and…
The European Commission has published the Forecast Report, which indicates that this year Italy will grow 1,1% less than the average of Eurozone countries - Eurozone GDP estimated downwards in 2020.
The energy transition - based on efficiency, innovation and sustainability - can really make it possible to boost growth by reducing polluting emissions and improving the environment, but we need to overcome the weakness of politics and too many anti-scientific prejudices that fuel…
On 25 and 26 March, for the seventh time, the Africa CEO Forum brings together 1.500 heads of state, ministers, multinationals, world banks in Rwanda to make financial decisions on the future of the continent, its unequal growth and the importance of technologies
At the Forex Congress, the Governor of the Bank of Italy, Ignazio Visco, highlights the "large downside risks" of the growth estimates of the Italian economy both for internal reasons - above all for the uncertainty of the budgetary policy - and for the unknown factors …
The growth of the two countries continues to be driven by private consumption, domestic demand and exports, but both are weighed down by the volatility of the international trade scenarios, in particular for industrial products towards EU partners and the lack of…
The rebound of the Russian economy continues, also thanks to the stability of debt, deficit and currency reserves. But, without a profound reform of the productive structure that has been missing for too long, economic growth will not manifest its potential due to…
Minister Tria bets on the multiplier effect of public investments on GDP, but their real weight on growth remains uncertain: the doubts of Governor Visco and former Mister Spending Review Cottarelli - From the Monetary Fund to the ECB and the think…
General government income increased by €36,5 billion (+5%) mainly with taxes, which accounted for half of total revenue - Public expenditure increased by a modest 1,2% in the first half of 2018
FROM "THE RED AND THE BLACK" BY ALESSANDRO FUGNOLI, Kairos strategist - Many speculate the end of the cycle but "no recession is in sight" and "in the short term there is no reason not to remain reasonably invested in the stock market and not…
Neither monetary policies nor fiscal policies will have the flexibility they had in the past to be able to stabilize the next economic slowdown. European states are therefore led to push for reforms to convince the markets. Investors will…
Atradius shows us how the estimated GDP dynamics for the two-year period 2018-19 in Chile (+3,1%) and Colombia (+2,5%) are the consequence of prudent and sound policies: the process of economic diversification continues in Chile, while in Colombia the simplification…
According to the Minister of Economy, Pier Carlo Padoan, the Italian economy can grow by even more than 2% by leveraging investments but the administrative bottlenecks that hold them back and the lack of valid projects must be removed
In the Economic Outlook on Italy the positive notes on growth driven by private demand but also by exports and recovering investments prevail. However, the OECD warns about the risks associated with debt, confirming the need to make reforms. Beware of the impact of the election
Sustained growth and further upside potential for equity markets in 2018; these are the main elements of the latest Credit Suisse Investment Outlook - Credit Suisse sees Millennials emerging as a decisive economic, social and political force
FOCUS BNL - Oil prices recovered and stabilized in 2017 - The pros and cons of their fluctuation on economic growth.
From AffarInternazionali.it - The Dutch elections on 15 March will be a crucial test for the stability of Europe - The PVV's drive to leave the Union and stop immigrants is growing, but Prime Minister Rutte's party, which guaranteed…
In the new tariff system introduced by the Energy Authority for electricity networks there are important signs of discontinuity and significant changes in the regulation model, but innovative investments deserve stronger incentives - The challenge on the economic growth of…
INTERVIEW WITH IVAN LO BELLO, president of Unioncamere - "The recovery is here: we are only reaping the first fruits but for Italy the dividend of the reforms will be increasingly important" - The great merits of Draghi and Renzi - "Unioncamere…
Tomorrow's pronouncement of the Tar on the request to suspend the reform of cooperative banks scares the institutions concerned which are all down on the stock market - The European stock exchanges, on the other hand, are positive despite the slowdown in growth in Germany before…
China, Brazil, Russia cast shadows on the recovery in the West. Is it possible to avoid the negative sequence centered on exchange wars, protectionism in world trade and the regurgitation of nationalisms, as is in part already happening? Deputy Minister Calenda aims at a…
The criticisms of the "Corriere della Sera" of the Nobel laureates Krugman and Stiglitz on Greece must be taken into consideration, but the crisis in Athens also exposes the growth deficit of the whole of Europe - It is right to ask the weakest countries for…
FOCUS BNL - China's economic growth has no equal in the world but the growth in savings of Chinese families is also impressive: in 2015 it was equal to 25% of GDP - The Chinese allocate their savings to…
FROM "L'ATLANTE - NEWSLETTER OF PROMETEIA" - A lasting economic recovery in the medium term will require our country to increase productivity - That of work is also conditioned by how we will be able to expand the skills of a population that is…
Carlo Messina, CEO of Intesa Sanpaolo: "2015 represents a turning point for the Italian economy: there are finally growth prospects. And for Intesa Sanpaolo the first quarter of the year was very good and among the best in recent years five…
CONGIUNTURA REF - The conflicting data on the Stock Exchange and on the performance of the real economy are also confusing economists but now QE is opening up new scenarios even if it will be necessary to wait months to verify whether or not the Draghi operation will be fully successful - That…
According to a report by the Confindustria Study Center, the growth differential in the last three years between the United States and Europe, which has seen the clear affirmation of the Americans, is mainly due to the US budget policies that have been…
MARCH 15 - Christine Lagarde and Patricia Arquette against the ostracism of women at work - Female discrimination costs 9% of GDP in Italy and XNUMX trillion dollars in the world - In our country the wage gap between men and women…
According to Stefania Tomasini of Prometeia, the OECD's forecasts for Italy are correct but too cautious because GDP in 2015 could rise much more - The OECD's appreciation of the reforms, which if completed, could lead to growth…
The new EU guidelines on the flexibility clauses of the Stability Pact make it possible to temporarily deviate from the objective of a balanced budget in the verified case of structural reforms, investments for European projects and a negative economic cycle, but…
Cutting unproductive public spending by 40 billion euros to be used to reduce taxes, reducing the public debt by 300 billion with a real estate fund, devaluing the euro towards parity with the dollar: these are the three proposals presented…
FROM THE "RED AND BLACK" BLOG BY ALESSANDRO FUGNOLI, Kairos strategist - The stock market cannot go up indefinitely: until the end of the year we can still be calm but in 2015 it will be better to gradually reduce the risk and exposure to equity …
The idea of Salvini, Grillo and some Pd exponents of leaving the euro to revive the economy is just an illusion as dangerous as it is unfounded - The changeover would be a very complex operation that would cause chaos, a run on the banks banking and…
What economic and employment impacts could there be if Italy puts more pressure on the internationalization accelerator? This question is answered by the interesting SACE-Valore D study “In search of lost growth. Opportunities and returns of a more international Italy”, with a comparison with the others…
The recipe illustrated by Mario Deaglio in the 19th Report on the global economy and Italy of the Einaudi Center is clear: internal policies to stimulate demand and - at the European level - a truly expansive monetary policy, devaluation of the euro and a serious program …
FOCUS BNL - In the main countries of the euro area the crisis has led to a drop in investments. In Italy, the cut mainly affected public ones, which went from 54 billion in 2008 to 38 billion in 2013. And…
SVIMEZ REPORT - The southern question has been removed from national consciousness but without the development of the South there will be no real recovery for all of Italy - Keep an eye on the Mediterranean and on investments - Delrio accuses the…
SPEAKS NICOLA ROSSI, economist and former senator of the Democratic Party - "It is not by increasing public spending that Italy can relaunch internal demand and growth: if we did so, the markets would not follow us - More flexibility if we give in…
The proposal put forward on FIRSTonline by Innocenzo Cipolletta and based on an increase in the lowest VAT rates as a function of a reduction in Irpef and Irap is good for the economy without weighing on the public budget and with very modest effects on…
“We need to grow more”. These are the words of the Governor of the Bank of Italy, Ignazio Visco, as he leaves the Marriot Hotel where the Eurofi conferences are held.
Luckily, Prime Minister Renzi seems to avoid a new blow to the middle class with the increase in taxes on pensions which would only be a sensational own goal for consumption and economic recovery - From Poletti to Baretta: an incredible and disconcerting series of…
Putin's neo-imperial aims alarm Sweden, which goes to the elections on 19 September with the economy in order (low public debt and high growth) but which is preparing for the change of government by dusting off recipes from the past that worry the…
Only the incurable Italian benaltrism can imagine that institutional reforms and economic reforms are alternatives to each other - In reality, as Michele Salvati lucidly explains in the Corriere, they are only two parallel paths which, albeit at different times, must aim for the only goal...
FROM THE "RED AND BLACK" BLOG BY ALESSANDRO FUGNOLI, Kairos strategist - The life of this economic cycle is still long but the growth prospects are reduced and the ECB is unable to weaken the euro - For…
The wave of bad weather that hit the United States at the beginning of the year slowed the momentum of the US economy, but recent data "suggest a significant recovery in growth in the rest of the year" - This is what we read in the IMF report…
Italy: the only major country in the Eurozone and the EU to show negative growth in the first quarter of 2014 - This was revealed by Eurostat - Economy Minister Padoan: "We must continue with structural reforms. In conditions of stability, we need economic growth".
EUROPEAN ELECTIONS - The hallucinating debate on "the euro yes or the euro no" that characterizes the electoral campaign in our country risks costing Italy dearly because it fuels investor uncertainty and, adding to the handicaps in terms of the labor market, pa …
The inequality index in China is overtaking that of the USA: an unflattering overtaking, unlike that of the GDP - Especially since the 'someone' who gets rich before the others are party leaders or entrepreneurs connected with…
The American agency confirms Italy's BBB+ rating and improves its outlook from negative to stable - According to Fitch, the recession is now over but our country's growth prospects are still weak.
GDP growth of 1,5% with inflation of the same amount is a realistic bet by the Renzi government but the goal must be achieved with reforms (starting with institutional ones) and certainly not through an increase in public spending -…
It is the worst since 2009. Estimates spoke of a +3,6% growth in gross domestic product - Minister Ulyukayev: "The recession of many partners and the lack of investments are weighing heavily" - Weak ruble today
FROM THE LATEST ISSUE of LIMES on "Poland, Europe without the euro" - The Polish case has impressed with its economic performance outside the single currency but now the problems are coming to the surface and the close link with the German economy presents…
In 2013, investment and industrial production fell in Russia and the ruble depreciated. But it was also the year of recovery thanks to the growth of GDP, foreign trade and manufacturing production. Waiting for…
REF RESEARCH CIRCLE - The reduction of the spread below 200 basis points ushered in 2014 with an important European Agenda: from a political point of view (new Parliament and new Commission), and from an economic point of view (launch of the Banking Union) - But, instead…
Those who expected the return of the Social Democrats to government in the Grand Coalition would push Germany to change course in Europe will have to think again - The SPD has obtained concessions on minimum wages, pensions and work but has delegated to the Chancellor…
CONFERENCE OF BCC DI CAMBIANO in Florence - "The new year will lead to recovery" is the theme of the meeting promoted for Saturday 30 November by the Banca di Credito cooperativo di Cambiano (Florence, 15 pm, Viale dell'Aeronautica 14) - The reports of …
In addition to Italy (-1,8%), according to EU Commission forecasts, Greece (-2013%), Spain (-4%), Cyprus (-1,3%) will grow below zero in 8,7 , Holland (-1%), Portugal (-1,8%), Slovenia (-2,7%), Finland (-0,6%).
New e-book by Giulio Sapelli published by goWare and available in the main digital bookstores: "August 2013. Nothing will be the same again" - The most heretical and most unconventional economist on the Italian scene analyzes and brings to light the changes…
From Cernobbio, Economy Minister Fabrizio Saccomanni defines the agreement between Confindustria and the unions to face the challenges of growth as unrealistic - "It goes in the desired direction, but shows a very high expenditure bill and is immediately charged…
INTERVIEW WITH ANGELO TANTAZZI - According to the president of Prometeia, the Italian economy is also emerging from the recession but one cannot be virtuous just for an hour and the euphoria would be unjustified because the signs of recovery still need to be consolidated without forgetting…
FROM THE BLOG ADVISE ONLY - The Italian per capita income level at the end of this year is approximately equal to that of 1997 and only in 2017 should our standard of living return to 1999 levels - The…
The growth of the Brazilian economy will reach only 2,5% in 2013 and 4% in 2014: said the Brazilian Finance Minister, Guido Mantega, anticipating the reduction by the Government of the country's GDP estimates.
"Probably in the third quarter, but certainly at the beginning of 2014 we will have the start of growth": this is what the Minister for Economic Development Flavio Zanonato affirmed during the meeting of Communion and Liberation.
Napolitano and Draghi have once again launched essential signals for Italy and for Europe, but now it's up to the Government to be more daring: on the public debt and on the economic recovery - Broad agreements require compromise but not immobilism: the …
THE CONFESSION OF FORMER MINISTER VITTORIO GRILLI - In a meeting promoted by Kairos, Grilli denies the opposition between austerity and growth and affirms that "Italy alone cannot win the challenge of growth" because the profound changes needed are…
Atradius expects two more years of recession before a possible recovery: much depends on the timely implementation of reforms capable of transforming an increasingly disillusioned and resistant to change economic and social environment.
Despite the difficult continental climate, the competitiveness of Polish exports is guaranteed by the favorable exchange rate, while the easing of tensions on the public finances ensures the net flow of portfolio investments.
The conference promoted by Francesco Confuorti's Advantage Financial on "Global Perspectives Competitiveness& Growth" will be held on Monday 13 May in Milan
For the president of Consob, the problem of the Italian economy is not the markets or the spread, but "companies that close and jobs are missing" - "After austerity, there is a need to think about the country's economic growth" - On the…
Driving this boom are in particular domestic consumption, which in the winter months grew at the highest rate in two years: +3,2% on an annual basis.
According to estimates from Madrid, Spain will record a further 1,3% drop in GDP in 2013, while a recovery is announced starting from next year.
This is what we read in the Beige Book, the report on the American economy that the Federal Reserve publishes every six weeks and which provides a relatively better picture than the individual macroeconomic data released previously - "Unchanged or slightly improving…
REPORT REF RESEARCH edited by Giacomo Vaciago - Even before the recession, the Italian economy pays for its loss of potential, the lowering of its ability to grow - A process, this reduction in productivity, started in the mid-90s: …
The Chinese economy is running slower than expected, indeed slipping: +7,7% annually in the first quarter of this year from +7,9% in the fourth quarter of 2012, while forecasts gave it +8%.
