Stefano Luconi, a professor of American history in Padua who is closely following the American elections, highlights the importance of a statement by Kamala Harris, the Democratic Party's candidate for the White House. Here's why
Kamala Harris has proposed a 33% overall capital gains tax, versus Biden's promised 44,6%. Help for startups and small businesses has also been promised
American history professor Stefano Luconi talks about the women who, before Kamala, attempted to run for the White House, from the pioneer Victoria Woodhull to Hillary Clinton, defeated by a questionable electoral system despite having collected the majority…
In Chicago, Kamala Harris officially launches her presidential campaign, challenging Donald Trump less than two months before the elections. In her speech, the most important of her career, she addressed burning issues: economy, immigration, Ukraine, the Middle East, abortion and…
The third day of the Democratic convention focused on the word "freedom." Vice-presidential candidate Walz accepts the nomination and introduces himself to the general public
Whoever between Trump and Harris manages to convince voters of their economic recipe will win the White House. The Democratic candidate is betting on the middle class, promising aid and relief and an all-out fight against the large companies favored by Trump
Professor Stefano Luconi, a great expert in American history, examines Trump's nomination of JD Vance as vice president, underlining how this choice not only strengthens Trumpism, but points to a more radical future for the Republican Party...
The Nobel Prize winner for Economics warns that the Fed must urgently cut rates. While it might seem like an attempt to influence US elections, Krugman stresses that the cut is necessary for economic, not political, reasons
Kamala Harris is officially the Democratic presidential candidate and has chosen Tim Walz, governor of Minnesota, as her running mate. The electoral tour towards November now begins
The long-awaited endorsement from Barack and Michelle Obama has arrived for Kamala Harris: "Kamala has vision, strength and character, she will be a fantastic candidate"
“The best way is to pass the torch to the new generations. Kamala Harris is savvy, tough and capable.” From the Oval Office, Joe Biden explained, without details, his decision to withdraw from the race for the White House. Meanwhile, Netanyahu ignites…
Kamala Harris is running for the Democratic nomination, thanks to numerous endorsements and the support of key figures and celebrities. With a solid base of delegates exceeding the necessary quorum, the big step now is choosing the…
Joe Biden is not the first president to withdraw from the race for a new term. Historically, parties that have seen their president retire have only been successful once: in 1880, when the Republicans, after the retirement of…
At the moment Trump has the wind at his back but the games for the White House are not yet over and Donald does not have the majority of the 130-150 million Americans who will vote in November. The Dems can go back to…
The Covid diagnosis only further complicates an already troubled election campaign, increasing pressure on Democrats to find a solution that can guarantee them victory in the November elections
In the latest episode of the podcast "Al 4° Piano", Kairos strategist Alessandro Fugnoli analyzes the implications of the next American vote on the financial markets. What to do? Avoid premature speculation
At 23.30 pm Italian time, Joe Biden will hold a press conference that is decisive for his future: he will have to convince the Americans that he is capable of carrying out a second term, without help and without a teleprompter. In the meantime, the rumors are multiplying…
In an interview with ABC, Joe Biden insists: "I am the most qualified for the White House and I will beat Trump again", but half the party is pushing for withdrawal and donors are closing their wallets
The hypothesis of a possible withdrawal of President Joe Biden from the race for re-election, although firmly denied by the White House, has sparked an intense debate among Democrats who now have to decide whether to continue with his leadership or aim…
The US Supreme Court defended Trump, granting him "broad" presidential immunity, despite serious accusations of election manipulation and incitement to the attack on the Capitol. A decision criticized for its impact on the fundamental principles of justice and equality
Anticipation is mounting for the first (of two) debates tonight between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in view of the US presidential elections. Immigration, inflation and geopolitics are the hot topics. CNN leaves nothing to chance to "contain" the two candidates
The television broadcaster CNN made it known that the match will take place with strict rules given the hostility between the two contenders and the precedents of the 2020 matches and that the moderators will use all the tools at their disposal to respect…
The American political reality reflects a tight fight between Biden and Trump, which will be played out on a few votes in key states. While Trump denies his defeat and questions the justice system, Larry Hogan's candidacy reveals…
A few months before the presidential elections in the United States, both main candidates, Donald Trump and Joe Biden, are very unpopular. Despite the dissatisfaction, no credible alternatives have emerged. Taylor Swift embodies the desire for renewal, but she can't run for…
As per tradition, there will be an independent candidate in the next US presidential elections. It is an illustrious name: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Professor Stefano Luconi explains who he is and how many chances of victory he has
In the second part of our journey into US electoral rematches, Professor Stefano Luconi explores, from Bryan to Nixon, the cases in which the challenge of previous elections was renewed not only between the same candidates, but also with…
With goWare, I travel to the rematches of the American presidential elections. Today the first part is dedicated to the political confrontations of 1800 and 1828 with an interview with Professor Stefano Luconi: all the analogies between the Trump-Biden and Adam-Jefferson clash
The duel between Trump and Biden heats up, with uncertain polls and the threat of protests. The outcome, predicted by a narrow margin, could depend on a handful of votes, thus defining the political era of the United States
Biden is ready to ban the Chinese social network TikTok in the US if Congress approves a targeted provision. Thus the issue enters the full electoral campaign for the 2024 presidential elections in November. Trump's reaction: "Facebook is the real enemy"
On Tuesday 5 March 15 US states will vote to elect the Republican and Democratic representatives who will run in the presidential elections in November. Trump and Biden seem to have no rivals, but watch out for the courts
Sixth interview with prof. Stefano Luconi, author of a book with goWare on "The race for the White House", on the mechanisms underlying the election of the President of the United States on November 5th. Here we talk about the Congress and…
Professor Stefano Lucoli, professor of History and Institutions of the Americas at the University of Padua, offers an exclusive look at the 2024 US presidential elections, analyzing the dynamics of the national conventions of the Democratic and Republican parties and the crucial role of the vice presidency
In this interview, Professor Stefano Lucoli, professor of History and institutions of the Americas at the University of Padua, explains how campaign financing for candidates in the US elections works
After the dispute over fraud that characterized the 2020 Presidential elections, the topic is a hot one today. Rules, registration to lists and drop boxes: Professor Stefano Luconi, author of the essay "The race for the White House 2024" explains everything that…
The first round of primary elections and caucuses begins on January 15 with the Republican caucus and the first part of the Democratic caucus in Iowa. Professor Stefano Luconi, author of the book "The race for the White House 2024" published by…
Biden drops the ace in view of the 2024 presidential elections and focuses on Bidenomics: "We will grow the economy from the bottom up". Here is what the economic doctrine on which the president aims to win the elections provides
Biden announced his candidacy despite the non-green age while the Republicans are looking for an alternative to Trump - Foreign policy and above all US-China relations at the center of the electoral campaign - Why Europe must hope in Biden
He is the first former American president to end up under criminal investigation and under arrest. There are 34 charges for 34 crimes
Reverend Warnock's victory in Georgia is crucial for Democrats, but it also represents yet another personal defeat for Donald Trump
With the victory of Mike Garcia in California, the Republicans won the majority in the House. Still 6 seats to be filled, but the margin is small. And there are already those who blame Trump. Here because
Donald Trump is a candidate for the third time in the 2024 US presidential elections. He does it well in advance: why? The challenge with Biden and the rising star Ron De Santis
The Republicans are on the way to obtaining the majority in the House, but the game could be decided in December in the Senate - Trump: "Great evening", but rival DeSantis lands in Florida - Abortion wins in 5 states
In Italy, good indications from consumption - Bper and Pop Sondrio collapse among the banks, Unicredit restarts - Positive accounts for Bayer - Stable spread
The market is betting on the public takeover bid on Tim at 0,30 euros per share to reach the single network - In the US, however, it is due to the new inflation figures rather than the midterm vote
After last week's 11,8% leap, even today Tim gains more than 10% on the stock market on the wings of the CDP takeover bid pushed by the new government - The Milan stock exchange is the best in Europe - Unicredit suffers…
Midterm elections will be held on 8 November to redraw the balance of the US Congress. All the seats in the Chamber and a third of those in the Senate are up for grabs. Here's everything you need to know
The armed assault on the US Capitol causes clashes, injuries and four deaths, but in the end Congress ratifies the victory of Biden, who also won the majority in the Senate with his success in Georgia - Trump in the end…
The Dem victory in Georgia starts the great turnover on the Stock Exchange: high tech slows down, cyclicals and banks rise - And London is flying in Europe but Piazza Affari is also doing very well (+2,4%) with Buzzi (construction), banks and oil…
The double victory of Reverend Warnock, the first black senator elected in the Southern State (confirmed) and John Ossof (announced) pushes Biden towards absolute victory. And the Stock Exchange does the math: more green spending, more infrastructure and more…
The Dems are one step away from electoral victory in Georgia which will also give them control of the Senate, with inevitable repercussions on the financial markets - China at the top after 13 years - Booming demand for BTPs in Italy…
On Monday, December 14, the big voters officially elect the new president - Despite Trump's accusations, the games are over - Here's what will happen
After an uncertain and nervous day, the improvement in the final result of the American elections with Biden's official victory also in Arizona invigorates the markets, as evidenced by futures on the Nasdaq - Piazza Affari, however, starts down -…
The Nasdaq boom is a cheer for Joe Biden's victory. Here are the reasons that explain why investors have breathed a sigh of relief and are betting on Tech stocks. Google is now worth 27 times its earnings but also…
The probable election of Biden changes the state of relations with Europe that the new American president will need to face the Chinese challenge - Trump has lost in the USA but not the Republicans, with all that…
Fox News, the conservatives' bible, drops President Trump, he thinks of one of his TVs while the danger of an advance by radical leaders is deflating among the Dems. This, and more, explains the moves of the price lists as Facebook…
Biden has the advantage and Trump threatens legal appeals, which however do not worry the stock exchanges, convinced that little will change in American politics - Nasdaq at the top - Piazza Affari has gained 11% in six sessions
The US markets welcomed Biden's overtaking of Trump with a robust (and perhaps surprising) rise and today the Asian stock exchanges are also celebrating - The reasons for the jump in bonds - The accounts of Intesa and Unicredit
BIDEN ("We'll Win: The Numbers Are Clear") Surpasses TRUMP IN GEORGIA AND PENNSYLVANIA and Moves Close to Majority of Major Voters - But Trump Won't Acknowledge His Victory and His Team Has Already Kicked Appeals, Which…
Even the markets are cheering and in the middle of the day they recover the initial bewilderment after the US vote. There was no blue wave but marijuana stocks reward Dems and futures promise a rally on the Nasdaq
The worst case scenario has occurred: there is no certain winner after election day and the votes of the states in the balance will count - the states assigned, those to be assigned and the combinations that could give the victory to…
The first counting of the US votes, which mark a better-than-expected result for Trump, makes the Nasdaq and high-tech stocks euphoric, as they see the antitrust threat evoked by the Democrats fading away - Bull also in Europe - AstraZeneca…
Biden wins in Arizona, Virginia and Minnesota, but Trump holds in Florida, Texas and Ohio - After yesterday's Election Day in America, the long counting of votes began, but the final result of the presidential elections will only come in a few…
Even on the day when the Americans are engaged in a historic presidential election, the markets are all effervescent - Piazza Affari gains over 3% driven by Ferrari but also by Leonardo, Pirelli and CNH.
For now, the financial markets are not betraying particular tensions due to the American vote, while in Asia the Bull continues its run - European stock markets are also on the rise, despite Merkel warning that the fight against the pandemic "will take a long time"
Nov. 3 elections could change the face of the United States and world politics
The stock exchanges of China and Japan gallop - Oil plummets, victim of the pandemic that besieges the economy - In Europe and the USA Covid and the American vote sow uncertainty after the black week - Rain of corporate balance sheets in…
More than a race to the center to recover the middle class, the confrontation between two increasingly extreme Americas prevails in these elections. But how do the two candidates intend to change the economy? From taxes to energy, from infrastructure to large monopolies just…
The wait is rising for the last debate before the elections between Trump and Biden - pandemic and China the hot topics - Microphones off in turn - Here's all the information you need to prepare for tonight's TV showdown
The accentuated polarization of American politics in view of the presidential elections is fueling the swarm of fake news and conspiracy theories to which a group of researchers from Emory University and the New York Times have recently dedicated…
The nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to the US Supreme Court marks a turning point that goes beyond the presidential elections and that reshapes the judicial system by mortgaging the post-Trump
THE HANDS OF THE ECONOMY OF OCTOBER 2020 - US growth - essential for pulling the world out of the Great Lockdown - could be more robust if Biden wins. But there are many unknowns. Meanwhile, exports and manufacturing in the world are buoyant…
The US presidential elections are particularly uncertain due to Covid, but there is little talk of economic programs: here is the analysis of the Intesa Sanpaolo Study Center.
The Covid-19 pandemic, and how Trump has handled it, dominates the last month of the election campaign before the vote. But there is not only this. And it is still too early to give the games for facts. Here because
Three presidents for a single seat that is getting hotter and hotter. Not only did the "October surprise" fall on the elections with Donald Trump's positive test for Covid-19, but the uncertainty of recognition by the…
According to Kairos' strategist, "the markets tend to underestimate the extent of the long-term changes that a Biden victory would entail". Starting with the effects on the euro-dollar exchange rate
The More Than A Vote movement, led by the Los Angeles Lakers star, has decided to donate the millions of dollars needed to increase the number of voters in polling stations in black communities, especially in swing states. The goal is to…
The virtual Convention of the US Democrats launches Biden in the race for the White House but he has to deal with the segmentation of the electorate to try to defeat Trump in a presidential match more open than ever
America is burning and Trump is limping, but to understand how the next presidential elections in the States will go, we must never forget three fundamental rules: here are the ones.
According to the former president of the Institute for International Affairs, in the American electoral campaign the pandemic plays in Trump's favor for at least two reasons - As for Biden, if he wants to have a chance he must avoid the trap that was fatal to Hilary Clinton,…
INTERVIEW with DAVIDE BORSANI, ISPI research associate - "The polls say that the Senate is in the balance and that the House could pass to the Democrats, but a higher than usual turnout could favor the Republicans" - "The Dems are proposing new…
From "THE RED AND THE BLACK" by ALESSANDRO FUGNOLI, Kairos strategist - The Trump effect is felt on the markets but we need to distinguish the short term from the medium term - In a 12-month horizon it is better to buy dollars and shares (but not…
Closing borders harms everyone - It is doubtful that American workers would benefit - In Europe nationalisms would win and the EU would be exposed to Putin's expansionism.
A day obviously marked by the election of Donald Trump as president of the United States of America: the news arrived at dawn in Europe, giving the markets and political leaders time to assimilate and comment on it - Here is all the news, with the…
After the initial shock, the Stock Exchanges regained share and closed positively, except for Milan (-0,1%) and Madrid (-0,4%) - Who gains and who loses.
Reversing all predictions, the Republican Trump wins the elections and becomes the 45th president of the United States, clearly defeating Hillary Clinton - Trump also wins the House and Senate, which will have a Republican majority - It is…
Obviously the wait is all for the American elections: here is the reaction of the European markets and the intervention of Roubini.
The markets sense a possible victory for Clinton in the American presidential elections and they are all in positive territory: Piazza Affari closes at +0,48% - Azimut's exploits and good performances by Mps, Mediolanum, Telecom and Brembo - Sales on Popolari,…
The economist and guru who anticipated the great crisis of 2008 was a guest of the Global Thinking Foundation in Milan. The analysis of possible scenarios in case Trump wins and the impact of a possible Clinton victory amidst populist thrusts…
After yesterday's rally on the wave of polls that give Clinton the favourite, today the stock markets await the night of the President - Roubini: "Hillary in continuity with Obama, Trump a disruptor with disturbing ideas" - Total and China agree with…
The eyes of the world are on America, polling stations open in the USA. The polls for the most important elections of the year are opening and the Americans will have to choose between the candidate of the Republican party, Donald Trump, and the exponent of the Democratic party, Hillary…
Impossible not to consider the US elections as the topic of the day, also given the (positive) repercussions on the markets: we vote tomorrow, Tuesday 8 November - But there is also something else, starting with the listing of Italgas on the Stock Exchange, 13 years later The…
"From Wednesday, whatever the result of the American presidential elections, the world will never be the same again. A victory for Hillary would mark a change of pace. With the elections also in France and Germany and with the Italian referendum we are at…
Why do we vote on November 8? What happens to Congress? How do you elect the President of the United States of America? What are the key states and the most important times of Election Day? Here is all the essential information you need to know to follow the…
The incredible FBI intervention on Clinton's emails a few days after the vote brought the role of surveillance and intelligence agencies back into the limelight but, in the era of dataism, their weight is no longer what it once was because…
From "THE RED AND THE BLACK" by ALESSANDRO FUGNOLI, strategist of Kairos - Uncertainty about the result of the American elections is projected onto the markets - In the next two months it is probable that the stock markets will fall but no corrections are in sight…
INTERVIEW OF THE WEEKEND - According to Stefano Silvestri of the IAI, Donald Trump has no strategy in domestic and foreign policy but "limits himself to riding the populist impulses" of the moment and this is what worries both the markets and the…
The week closes with another stock market session and with other not comforting news from the United States, a few days after the 8 vote: in addition to Trump's possible victory, intelligence has also launched the alarm of attacks - Then again updates…
Yesterday Piazza Affari, after an excellent October, closed the fifth consecutive session in the red due to the fall of the banks (excluding the Entente) - The events of Brexit and the US electoral campaign keep the markets on edge - Record offers…
From "THE RED AND THE BLACK" by ALESSANDRO FUGNOLI, Kairos strategist - After months of substantial calm, the imminent arrival of the presidential elections in America will make the markets very effervescent due to the various political, economic and financial effects that…
Unequivocally sexist phrases ("When you're powerful you can do what you want to women") throw the Republican candidate into the storm - His deputy condemns him and cancels a rally - Trump doesn't give up but his candidacy is…
