Exactly what everyone feared is happening: Spain risks falling prey to ungovernability. After the Portuguese chaos, Madrid is now worrying the whole of Europe.
Indeed, the result of the government elections of 20 December seems to leave no way out. As announced, the 123 seats won by Rajoy's popular are not enough to reach the absolute majority. The real surprise, however, concerns the fact that even with an alliance with Ciudadanos (40 seats, 13,93%), the PP would not have the numbers to govern.
At this point, the only way to avoid chaos would be that of a grand coalition with the Socialists (22%, 90 seats), while an alliance with Podemos (20,6%, 69 seats) seems to be totally excluded. moral winner of this electoral round.
But despite the risk of ungovernability has become more concrete than ever Psoe and Podemos have just closed the door on Mariano Rajoy, declaring their opposition to a possible investiture of a new government headed by the leader of the popular groups.
'The Socialist Party will vote no to the People's Party and to Rajoy', declared a leader of the Spanish Socialist Party 'Podemos will in no way allow a government of the People's Party', added Pablo Iglesias, number one of the party given in the wake of the movement of "Indignados". Instead, Ciudadanos will abstain, whose vote risks being irrelevant in any case.
So what will be the solution? According to Iglesias the time has come to open a “"transition process leading to a historic compromise in our country".
It therefore appears increasingly likely that Spain will find itself facing the same political chaos experienced by Portugal a few weeks ago and which ended with the launch of a centre-right minority government.
The Podemos leader then announced a round of talks with the other rival political formations and assured that Podemos is ready to face early elections if the political situation remains blocked. “If we go back to voting we can be very optimistic”. Despite this, the anti-caste party continues to consider the reform of the Constitution a priority.
At this point therefore, on the basis of the Spanish constitutional text, it will be the King, after a round of consultations, who will designate a candidate with the task of forming a government. The Investirà will take place by absolute majority (176 votes out of 350) in the first ballot. In the event that the pre-set threshold is not reached, secondly, the appointment of the prime minister can pass by simple majority. But even in this case, Rajoy risks not getting the numbers needed to govern. For Spain, therefore, opens a tough period.
