It is too early to say that democracy has defeated sovereignty and the populism, but the summer of 2024 gives us glimpses of hope. In Europe the black wave, led by Le Pen, Orban and Salvini with the benevolence of Giorgia Meloni, he had to split the world and conquer Brussels but Ursula Von der Leyen she is always there and has earned reconfirmation as head of the European Commission. In Britain the Conservatives – supported by that circus character of Boris Johnson – they thought they had found in the Brexit the key not only to separate from Europe but to restore luster to the country and remain in power for a long time, but they have already had to repack their bags in the face of the glittering success of the new Labour Party. In Poland, the pro-European essay Donald Tusk he defeated the nationalists and returned to the leadership of the country. But above all they are there France andAmerica to fuel hope.
In France, Macron has stemmed Le Pen's black wave and is preparing to form a democratic government
Until June the far right of Marine Le Pen seemed destined to conquer France but had not reckoned with the cunning Emmanuel Macron who in two moves blocked the way for the sovereignists and reopened the democratic games: those, even on the left, who have prejudicedly criticized his early dissolution of Parliament and his appeal to the republican alliance in the run-offs should honestly recognize that they have understood nothing and of having allowed themselves to be blinded by resentment and prejudice. Macron has not yet given a new government to France but he has unquestionably won the first round and has the concrete hope of paving the way for a centre-left or center government of clear democratic faith.
Then there is the American presidential election campaign on November 5th. At the beginning of the summer the king of sovereignists and populists, Donald Trump, was riding high and the Democrats seemed resigned to defeat. Then President Joe Biden was convinced to withdraw from the electoral competition and to pave the way for Kamala Harris and since then the music has changed. It is not at all certain that Kamala, despite the support of Bill Clinton and Barak Obama, will defeat Trump and win the White House but at least she's playing it and the latest polls encourage her.
In Italy the sovereignists are in government but they no longer seem to have the wind in their sails: two crucial tests
Europe, France, Great Britain, Poland and perhaps America: the battle between democracy and populist-sovereignism is not over but this summer leaves us a legacy of signs of hope. It remains to be seen what will happen in Italy. By placing herself in opposition to the European Government, Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has lost a perhaps unique opportunity to definitively put her sovereignist, nationalist and populist past behind her and to complete her transformation into a credible leader of a respectable and modern conservative right. And since then, not only has she got one right and she has eroded the reputational heritage that she had gained on the international scene but, to save the government's boat, she has increasingly allowed herself to be influenced by the pro-Putin far right Of Matteo Salvini isolating itself from Europe. How will it end? The fall of the Meloni government is not yet in sight but no one would bet on its duration until the end of the legislature in 2027. The vote in the American elections will count and the Italian political evolution will count, both on the right and on the centre-left side. Two crucial tests are coming. If Meloni were to lose the regional elections in Emilia, Umbria and even Liguria and if he subsequently loses the referendum on differentiated autonomy, nothing will happen before and for Italian sovereignism they could be knockout blows. Nice match. We'll see.
