The SEN 2030 objectives for renewable energies are particularly challenging but possible: this is what emerged from the Milan Renewable Observatory (OIR) conference promoted by Professor Andrea Gilardonii, which outlined the path to achieve the 2030 goal. Here's how articulates:
- production will have to grow from 103 TWh in 2017 to 184 TWh in 2030.
- A fundamental contribution will come from photovoltaic (+290% compared to 2017) and wind (+230% compared to 2017) production. It is necessary to install 4-5 additional GW every year compared to 800 MW in 2017, i.e. about 6 times more.
- The necessary investments in RES plants amount to almost €70 billion; to these must be added €45 billion in network infrastructure and flexibility resources.
- Revamping/repowering alone can increase the capacity of the existing fleet by 2-5 GW for PV, 1,1-3,8 GW for wind and 0,57-3,4 GW for hydro . 5
- Innovation and technological modernization would allow a considerable saving of land occupied by renewable plants: an estimated saving in 2030 of around 54 km2 for increasing the efficiency of the modules and over 80 km2 for revamping/repowering on PV and wind power.
- A fundamental and transversal role in all interventions will have to be assumed by public bodies (government, ministries, ARERA, GSE, etc.) and in particular by the Regions and Local Authorities.
- Many levers are needed to achieve the RES production targets by 2030. The contribution of the planned interventions can be estimated as: maintenance of current production 56%, PPA for new plants 20%, new RES decree 10%, revamping/repowering 10%, other 6%.