THEJune Swg Political Observatory draws, like every month, the updated and composite picture of the inclinations and intentions, to vote and not only, of the Italian electorate; an electorate that is portrayed as deprived by now, for the most part, of a deep and rooted sense of political belonging and that, indeed, he feels free to support anyone who can provide him with the most comprehensive answers to his requests.
Requests which, schematically, are mainly aimed at obtaining an electoral law that gives the citizen the possibility of choosing directly among the candidates, the expectation of real actions that go in the direction of cost cuts and political privileges and the need for transparency that derives from too many scandals that have stained the political scene of the last twenty years.
Another request from the Italians concerns the sacrifices that will have to be sustained, the need for which the citizens are well aware of, but which they will have to be marked by great equity. Another sensitive datum is the usual, and risky, fascination that Italians have towards a leading and charismatic leader.
In such a context, a the overwhelming emergence is the 5 Star Movement led by Beppe Grillo. Despite a slight drop in the last month, the personal trust he enjoys, at 30%, is the highest, after Monti's, among all political leaders.
In voting intentions, which have risen from 11,5 to 20% (second Italian party, to date) the value of the 5 Star Movement is revealed to be twofold: in addition to the support of an electorate convinced that it could be the best choice, in fact, Grillo coagulates around itself also the voting intentions, presumed to be short-lived, of those who consider it a lock pick to force the internal change of the traditional parties.
La honeymoon of the Italians with Mario Monti, however, is to be considered definitively concluded. The prime minister pays for the persistence of the crisis, of course, for the lack of an easy, quick and painless solution to the problems. Confidence in him stands at 33%, the lowest since taking office, a higher value than that of all the Italian leaders, but merciless in comparison with foreign countries, even with the exception represented by the high level of appreciation for the Hollande novelty.
If you look to the right, the drop in voting intentions of the PDL, dropped to 16% from 21%, while the League, after the scattering of consensus in April, stabilized at around 5%, which contributes to the total 25,5% of preferences for the centre-right. The popularity of all the leaders is declining: in addition to the natural collapse of Bossi in the face of scandals, and the never blossoming love for Alfano, the fact that Maroni enjoys greater confidence (19% against 17%) than Berlusconi is striking.
On the left, the most consistent change concerns the Democratic party, which passes from 25% to 24% in voting intentions, while the other parties remain substantially stable, for a total of preferences the slight increase from 43% to 43,5%. Trust in leaders, down, remains higher than that of right-wing leaders, with Bersani at 26% closely followed by Di Pietro (25%) and Vendola (23%).
A fluid situation, despite everything, susceptible to even substantial changes as the wind varies. The party and the leader who will best know how to respond to the demands of citizens and public opinion, in a context deprived of roots and ideology, will be able to reap the benefits.
