THESWG's political observatory, in the early days of what the relationship defines the Padana Spring, the year zero of the Northern League, outlines with its numbers a composite and fascinating picture of the political situation, crossed by rhapsodic and humorous tendencies, which follow the oscillations of everyday news and its queue of scandals like a ship in a storm .
As for voting intentions, the most substantial decline, as was natural, was that of the League, which went from 10,5% in February, before the tsunami Belsito, to 7% today, accompanied by the vertical collapse of confidence in his, now ex, leader maximo Umberto Bossi, sunk to 13%.
In spite of everything, the League has shown a good hold. The natural price to pay for the scandals has however been contained both by party pride, because "you don't throw away an identity without trying to react", and by the great credibility it enjoys, at the moment, Maroni, who thanks to a recent surge can boast a 35% confidence level which clearly speaks of personal appreciations that go beyond party boundaries.
Among other political forces the consents of the Democratic Party are also declining, which pays off the expectations of its electorate on the labor bill, while recovering something PDL and IDV.
The parable is also interesting approval ratings for prime minister Mario Monti, which peaked at 71% on 17 November and is now stagnant at 47%, a share that is unattainable, to date, by all other political leaders.
Monti, in addition to the cuts and rigidity, is paying for the persistence of the crisis, against the hopes of many Italians who probably expected a flick of the wand and a pinch of credibility to solve the biggest economic depression of the last eighty years.
By grouping voting intentions by grouping, however, the centre-left remains essentially stable compared to 44% in June 2010, while the centre-right, in the same period, went from 48,5% to 34,5% (although the Italian people have always been more right-wing than they like to admit), while the third pole stands at 12%.
Among the other parties, however, the rise of Beppe Grillo's 5-star Movement continues, back on the breach in the last period, confirming the growing intolerance of Italian voters towards everything that smacks too much of the Second Republic and old-fashioned politics, waiting for the administrative elections to clear the cards on the table and, perhaps, for a step backwards parties on funding and greater transparency, can reverse this trend.
