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Maneuver, pensions and family quotient return to the focus of the 2011 budget

The majority denies the idea of ​​a shield bis and reopens the debate on social security - The hot fronts remain the seniority checks and the retirement age for women - The severance pay hypothesis remains standing - Meanwhile Berlusconi wants to correct the solidarity contribution with the family quotient, a move that could bring the Pdl and Udc closer together.

Maneuver, pensions and family quotient return to the focus of the 2011 budget

In the August waltz of the encore maneuver, laps on the dance floor brought us back to square one. Pensions. In the majority we are once again talking about the much-hated retirement allowances and the retirement age for women. This could be the common ground on which to finally find an agreement to recalibrate the checks and balances of the last 45 billion sting. “A great opportunity not to be missed”, Renato Brunetta defined it yesterday.

According to the Minister of Public Administration, one could even find "a larger majority than the one supported by the Government". In any case, no more than 8-900 million a year could be obtained from the revision of the requirements for accessing old-age pensions, while a further advance on the adjustment of women's retirement ages would bring in about one billion a year. year.

On this road, the biggest obstacle this time is not legal (as it was for the taxation of already shielded capital), but political. Leaving aside the foreseeable outcry of the confederal trade unions, the government's stalemate so far has been caused by the opposition of the League. For weeks the Carroccio has been opposing new interventions on the social security front. Yet yesterday it was Roberto Calderoli who buried the last possible alternative, that of a new tax shield for the return of illegal capital abroad. Today, however, the Minister of Simplifications himself denied any possible negotiation on the subject of pensions: “They are fine as they are. There is no opening on the part of the League”. But time is running out now.

The work of the parliamentary commissions on the decree will begin next week and the Government has not yet found a shared path to revise the text. The only new measure on which there seems to be agreement, at least between the Lega and the Pdl, is the distribution of severance pay in payroll to stimulate consumption. Not exactly a decisive move.

Meanwhile, the revolt of the local authorities continues (led by Formigoni and Alemanno, certainly not men of the opposition) and the frond of the anti-tax pidiellini following Crosetto and Martino. On August 29, the Municipalities will demonstrate in Milan against the cuts.

The electoral problem also remains on the government's agenda. With one eye on the polls, it seems that in recent days Berlusconi has been tormented by an obsession with super-homing. He must find a way to round off the edges of the infamous solidarity contribution: a move that could also have an impact on the front of alliances. The abolition of the supertax remains a chimera: the medicine is bitter but it must be swallowed.

However, the sacrifice could be transformed into a good opportunity to demonstrate one's good will to the former friends that the Knight wants to win back. Remodulating the impact of the levy with the introduction of the family quotient (which would take into account, in particular, the presence or absence of children) would mean taking a new step towards the UDC. The PDL has been courting Casini's party for months and the rapprochement maneuver has accelerated after Angelino Alfano's investiture as secretary, committed to laying the foundations for the future leadership.

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