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Italicum, the verdict of the Consulta arrives

The judgment of the Constitutional Court on the Italicum is expected between tomorrow and the following day: the ballot and the majority bonus are at risk - Not only the future electoral law but the fate and duration of the legislature will depend on the verdict of the Consulta

Italicum, the verdict of the Consulta arrives

All eyes of politics are turned to the Palazzo della Consulta, a stone's throw from the Quirinale. Between tomorrow and after the Constitutional Court will issue its verdict on the Italicum namely on the constitutionality or otherwise of the rules of the electoral law for the Chamber wanted by the Renzi government.

In the balance, according to the rumors of the eve, there are above all two points: the voting mechanism which is triggered if no list reaches 40% e the majority premium.

The Court's decision is crucial for guide the future electoral law with which we will vote in the next elections. From the verdict will depend the possibility of extend the revised and corrected Italicum also to the Senate or the need for a more profound revision of the electoral law or in the direction of the so-called Mattarellium, which favors the majority system but maintains a balance with the proportional, or in the direction of a system proportional pushed.

Renzi proposed to reform the Italicum with the Mattarellum while Berlusconi, Grillo and the smaller parties they want the proportional system, behind which two paths can be glimpsed, daughters of parliamentary fragmentation: either ungovernability or a government of broad understandings (presumably Fi-Pd, given the unwillingness of the Five Star Movement to make alliances).

It goes without saying that the verdict of the Consulta will depend not only on the future electoral law but the very fate of the legislature, which is poised between who would like to vote as soon as possible (Renzi, the Lega and M5S) and who (Berlusconi, the dem minority and the center parties) would like to reach the 2018 deadline.

But it will be decisive the opinion of the President of the Republic, Sergio Mattarella, the true arbiter of the legislature, who does not deem it appropriate to call the Italians to vote before the French and German elections and thinks that the dissolution of the Chambers can only take place after a new electoral law and not before the autumn.

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