Over 910 planned entries from industrial and service companies with at least one employee, 119 more than in 2014; a recovery of Italian manufacturing in terms of innovation and quality; the balance between “income” and “outgoing” in the private sector is still negative but improving. These are the news for the year 2015 of the Excelsior information system, created by Unioncamere and the Ministry of Labour. Which also signals the stabilization, thanks to the measures introduced by the Jobs Act, of around 170 workers and the creation of around 55 new jobs that would not have existed this year if the legislation were unchanged.
Italian manufacturing, especially the most innovative and projected on foreign markets (from mechanics to food, from chemical-pharmaceutical to plastic), seems to have gone on the counterattack: in 2015 one industry in five will hire employees, while in 2014 it was one in six. Overall, 186.600 entries are expected in this sector (+31.300 compared to last year). In the crosshairs of the "headhunters" of Made in Italy companies, highly qualified professional figures to be employed in design (the demand for engineers is increasing), in digital innovation (starting with software analysts and designers) and in ideation of new commercial strategies (thanks to the sales technicians). But also many skilled workers required above all by the food and mechanical industries. The share of service companies that have planned the hiring of employees increased by two percentage points, going from 13,8% to 15,9%. Over 639 total workers entering this sector (+73.200 compared to 2014).
"Permanent" work is growing substantially this year, starting with the new contracts with increasing protection which should be 249.200 compared to the 146 "old" permanent contracts planned last year. When asked about these 249 hirings, the companies indicated, as the average of the prevailing motivation, that 132.700 (53,2%) would still have been scheduled, that 35.400 would not have been scheduled without the Jobs Act (14,2%) and which, thanks to this, over 19 thousand would be brought forward to this year (7,7%). Furthermore, for approximately 62 hires, this would be a change from an "atypical" type of contract originally envisaged (24,9%). To this last quota of "precarious workers" stabilized thanks to the Jobs Act, must be added a good part of those 117 thousand transformations of contracts from fixed-term to permanent for personnel already employed by companies who may have been influenced or stimulated by the introduction of the new discipline. Overall, therefore, it can be considered that almost 54.500 of the hirings envisaged under contracts with increasing protection are in fact additional hirings favored by the Jobs Act.
The demand for labor is on the rise
During 2015, Italian companies in the industry and services (with at least one employee at the beginning of the year) planned to achieve a total of over 910.300 new personnel "entries": almost 118.900 more than in 2014, with an increase of + 15,0%. More than 721.700 direct hires (+17,7% those of a seasonal and non-seasonal nature) and around 188.600 new atypical employment contracts (for administration or para-subordinate + 5,9%) will take part.
The revival of Made in Italy
That the driving force behind the economic recovery of our country is clearly seen in the employment programs formulated by companies. The widening of the number of companies intending to hire (greater in manufacturing than in services), the increase in direct hiring (+19,7% in industry in the strict sense compared to +16,2% in services) and, above all, the more substantial investment in high-level professional profiles make it clear that a part of our light industry is betting on its future. And it does so by focusing on innovation and quality, investing in those qualified figures who can make the difference in an increasingly competitive and enlarged market, now not only in industry but increasingly also in services. This is how it should be read, inside of the 721.700 direct employments of companies in various economic sectors planned for this year, the growing demand for intellectual, scientific and highly specialized professions (39.580, +6.420), among which the demand for analysts and software designers stands out ( 8.050, +2.520 compared to 2014) and Engineers (9.040, +1.780). Among the technical professions (77.560 overall, +15.770 compared to 2014), the demand for profiles working in the scientific, engineering and production fields is increasing (26.120, +6.730). Among these, industrial designers (4.470, +1.960) are the profession that records the greatest percentage change compared to last year. Among the technical professions in organisational, administrative, financial and commercial activities (36.160, +6.670), the demand for sales and distribution technicians stands out (10.170, +2.090). In relative terms, the highest increase in demand among "technical" professional profiles however concerns those in the field of health and life sciences (10.500 hires, with an increase of +36,4%, equal to +2.800 employees) , among which the health, nursing and midwifery professions stand out in particular (5.050, +1.720). The expansion in demand for labor also has a significant impact on the various profiles of skilled workers (91.600 overall, +7.500 compared to 2014 ) and above all of fixed and mobile machinery workers (85, +22.600), especially those involved in automated assembly lines, metalworking, assembly, food industry machinery.
Space for 202 young people "under 30"
This year, companies believe they can reserve over 202 of the 721.700 hires (non-seasonal and seasonal) to young people, equal to 28% of the total. Larger spaces seem to open up in service businesses (156.600), compared to those in industry as a whole (45.600). The presence of young people is more intense in the North West, where the share of hirings destined for the under 30s is close to 32%, and among companies with over 250 employees, in which the percentage reaches 36%. Fewer precarious workers in companies For 721.700 seasonal and non-seasonal workers employed directly by companies, 110 temporary workers are added, reaching a total of approximately 831.700 employees hired for 2015. Finally, to reconstruct the total of over 910.300 planned entries by companies, it is also necessary to take into account the 45.700 workers with project contracts and 33 VAT-registered and occasional collaborators. However, the demand for these different types of workers is different compared to last year: the most consistent increase is that concerning permanent contracts (249.200, +103.200 compared to 2014), while the increase in fixed-term contracts (205.200, +15.150) and that of temporary workers (110, +25.500). On the other hand, apprenticeship contracts (34.100, -700) and on-call contracts (12, -2.600) will decrease. Atypical forms are also significantly decreasing: there will be 45.700 project contracts (-12.900) and 33 VAT numbers (-2.100).
Double step Lombardy
If the North West is the area that concentrates the largest number of the 910.300 total revenues expected (about 270, equal to just under 30% of the total), Lombardy, the first region in the national ranking, has even double the pace compared to to Veneto, silver jersey in the ranking: 178.400 programmed admissions against 92.500. Followed by Emilia Romagna, with 87.300 admissions, then Lazio with 82.900. On the opposite side, the three "small" Italian regions: Molise (3.200 entries), Valle d'Aosta (3.900) and Basilicata (7.500). At the provincial level, Milan is the leader (83.600), followed at a certain distance by Rome (67.100). Naples, in third place, records 36 visitors, followed by Turin (34) and Verona (22).
Balance still negative but reduced compared to 2014
Even a minus sign could accompany the balance between income and expenditure in the private sector also in 2015 but with a strong improvement compared to 2014. A balance which, however, has room for improvement in the second half of the year, when the already planned expenditures by our businesses could be better balanced by new personnel not entirely predictable today but which would manifest themselves following more decisive signs of recovery. Overall, for this year the balance should be 60.400 fewer jobs, a marked improvement, therefore, compared to the -144 expected by companies last year. In other words, a net increase in the demand for labor of over 83 thousand units, equal to almost 94 entries for every 100 exits, compared to a ratio between the two equal to 85 a year ago. That the employment "machine" is in any case on the move is evident from the forecasts formulated by the various "sizes" of companies and by the single economic sectors. The reduction in jobs will still be substantial among smaller firms (-47 for those with up to 9 employees and -17 for those with 10 to 49 employees), while it eases in the intermediate class (-7.200 for those with 50- 249 employees). On the other hand, employment in the largest companies is on the rise: 1.200 more jobs will be created by companies with 250-499 employees and almost 10 by those with over 500 employees. Jobs are growing in five manufacturing sectors: mechanics (+2.200), chemicals and pharmaceuticals (+600), rubber and plastics (+500) and food (+200). On the other hand, the reduction in personnel expected above all by the textile, clothing and footwear (-4.660), wood and furniture (-2.620) and non-metallic mineral processing (-2.130) industries is still substantial. Among the services, the balance between income and expenditure is positive for IT and communications services (+2.100) and for advanced business support services (+2.500). On the other hand, the reduction in personnel expected by Retail Trade (-6.650) and by Accommodation and Catering Services (-7.890) was high. Considering only seasonal and non-seasonal workers, all regions should record a reduction in personnel at the end of the year between -200 workers in Basilicata and -8.850 in Lombardy. At the provincial level, however, the positive data from Milan and Catania stand out, where Excelsior expects an increase in employment of 2.200 jobs, in the first case, and +600 in the second (respectively, +0,2% and +0,5, XNUMX% balances as a percentage). Furthermore, in Naples and Matera companies expect to keep current jobs stable.
Attachments: Excelsior2015.doc
