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France: no growth in the second quarter

Isee data revealed that the country on the other side of the Alps had zero growth in the second quarter of 2011, worse than expected. Exports also remained unchanged. Manufacturing recorded the biggest decline since 1968, falling from +2,9% to -0,6 points. All sectors have fallen except the agri-food sector.

France: no growth in the second quarter

Between April and June, the transalpine country did not move. The growth of the French economy was zero (0,0%) in the second quarter of 2011 after an increase of 0,9% in the first quarter. This was announced by the French National Institute of Statistics (Insee).

The figure confirms a slowdown in activity, anticipated by analysts, but even more than expected: the Bank of France had forecast a growth of 0,2% in the second and third quarters.

According to what reported by Insee, consumption decreased by 0,7%, compared to +0,4% in the first quarter and investment too, albeit to a lesser extent, decreased by +0,9%, compared to +1,2% in the first three months. Final domestic demand contributed negatively to GDP growth (-0,2 points after +0,5 points). 

There was a large drop in imports which fell by 0,9% against an increase of 3,1% in the first quarter, while exports were zero, compared to +1,8% at the beginning of the year. Thus the trade balance made a positive contribution to GDP growth (+0,3, after -0,5 points). 

Total output of goods and services remained stable in the second quarter, after seeing a 1,4% increase in the first. Manufacturing production recorded the greatest collapse since the summer of 1968, falling by 0,6% (against +2,9% in the previous three months). All sectors were down except the agro-food sector.

However, too good data were not expected as the Elysée undertook to reduce the deficit to 5,7% in 2011 and to bring it to 4,6% in 2012 and to 3% in 2013. But with such weak growth, it will be hard to stay in line.

Economy Minister François Baroin declared in a radio interview that France "will remain in line with the growth objective for 2011". The government has forecast a 2% increase in GDP this year and 2,25% in 2012.

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