I election results in France they deliver the clear victory for Marine Le Pen and its National Rassemblement (Rn) who dominate like this the first round of the legislative elections with a percentage that stands at 33,1 percent. Far away Macronian majority, Ensemble, to 20%, While the united left arrive at 28 percent. According to a projection of seats released by the Elabe institute for Bfm TV, the Rassemblement national would get between 255 and 295 seats in the new national assembly afterwards the second round next Sunday, July 7th, and, in turn, the position of prime minister for Le Pen's dolphin, Jordan Bardella: it is worth remembering that the threshold for obtaining an absolute majority is 289 seats. The New Left Popular Front would obtain between 120 and 140 seats. In third position, the presidential majority from 90 to 125 seats. Followed by the Républicains who could have between 35 and 45 seats. To underline therecord turnout: at the polls on Sunday 30 June the 66,7% of those entitled to vote.
Voting in France, what Macron said
The President Emmanuel Macron he was the first to speak: “In front of the Rassemblement national, the time has come for a broad, clearly democratic and republican union for the second round”. Precisely in view of the run-off, in fact, Macron asked to study every single constituency in France to find “case by case” alliances, including agreements with candidates of France Insoumise (LFI), to block the advance of Le Pen and Bardella: he reported it Bfm TV. A new strategic meeting has been set for this morning at the Elysée, in an attempt to draw a new republican arc against the nationalist steamroller that triumphed in the first round.
What Le Pen said
"It is a historic achievement. It had never happened before that dozens of candidates from the National Rassemblement were elected in the first round of the political elections. I also believe that it is a great hope for millions of French people": Marine Le Pen, speaking to reporters in his fiefdom of Hénin-Beaumont, in northern France, responded thus to those who asked what his state of mind was after the victory of the Rassemblement national in the first round of the French vote.
What Bardella said
With a cleverly “institutional” posture, Jordan Bardella he did not speak in front of militants, like Marine Le Pen, but only in front of a group of journalists, in the party's Paris headquarters: “The outcome of the vote in France represents a verdict without appeal, a clear aspiration of the French for change”. For the far-right prime ministerial candidate, "alternation is within reach", there is "unprecedented hope throughout the country". “I will be the prime minister of all” he added, claiming that Sunday's vote will be one "of the most decisive in the entire history of the Fifth Republic".
France elections, what can happen now
If the appeal of Jean-Luc Mélenchon it was vibrant and without shadows, the situation of what should be the barrier to the wave of the far right is very fluid. “Our delivery is clear, not even one vote, not even one more seat for the Rassemblement National,” said Mélenchon, announcing “the withdrawal of our candidates everywhere we arrived in third place tonight." With the consequent indication to vote for the RN's local opponent, in this case the Macronian majority. From which, however, after the president's words that he calls "to the republican union", that is, to form a bloc against the far right, no equally clear indications have come.
French ballot, what are desistance agreements
Even Edouard Philippe, one of the leaders of the majority, gave indications decidedly contrasting with those of Macron, inviting his militants "to desist to avoid the election of RN or LFI candidates, La France Insoumise". Since LFI is the decidedly strongest party in the left-wing coalition, the dam of desistance would give way everywhere there will be majority candidates who give up but whose votes will not go to the Front Populaire if the local candidate is from Lfi. Aware of the enormous stakes and the less than positive perception of La France Insoumise among centrists and the moderate right, Raphael Glucksman, which brought the Socialist Party back to third place in the European elections, raised the cry of alarm: "We have 7 days to avoid a catastrophe in France". The Républicains who did not follow Eric Ciotti in his agreement with Marine Le Pen, and who still obtained a considerable 10%, have already announced, for their part, that they will not deliver votes to their voters.
The vote in France and the effects on Europe
The result of the second round of the French legislative elections, on 7 July, will have broad repercussions on the entire European affair, that of EU appointments and top jobs: only ten days later, in fact, Ursula von der Leyen, will go to the European Parliament to ask for a vote of confidence on the mandate that the European Council has given it. “Therefore – is the immediate comment of Enrico Letta – it is clear that if Bardella sits in Matignon, seat of the French government on 8 July (therefore if there is a Rassemblement national government), the matter will be totally different compared to a situation in which the other political forces were to prevail and there was therefore, greater pro-European continuity." And what will be the moves of Giorgia Meloni?