The Study Center on Energy Efficiency Economics and Management, CESEF, is organizing the annual workshop by Title "Energy efficiency and energy and climate plan - Between investments by utilities and increasingly distant goals". The appointment is in Milan on Thursday 18 October, in the headquarters in via Romagnosi, 8, starting at 9 and ending at 13,30 pm. The strategies of the operators in the sector, the objectives of the new Government, the new proposals of the professionals will be discussed and the results of the CESEF 2018 Report will also be presented.
Energy efficiency, in particular, is confirmed as a sector of paradoxes and strong contradictions. At European level, it is one of the pillars of the economy's decarbonisation strategy: the new Energy and Climate Plan (also being drafted in Italy) and the new EE targets for 2030 which will be included in the next directive on energy efficiency testify to this. The National Energy Strategy also places it among the priorities, but the tools and actions proposed do not seem adequate to achieve ambitious objectives.
Companies, also through M&A operations, are organizing themselves for a relaunch of the sector: through the implementation of larger and more ambitious projects and the orientation towards new businesses, such as behavioral measures, digitalisation, e-mobility and demand response. The institutions, on the other hand, and this will be discussed at the conference, lack a clear long-term vision and generate uncertainty on the market, risking, above all due to the actions on the White Certificates mechanism, calling into question the achievement of national policy objectives and Europeans.
Andrea Gilardoni, from CESEF, will open the works, after which representatives of major companies, such as Enel X, Italgas, Snam, E.On, Eni, Egea, Iren, Hera, and also Intesa Sanpaolo, will intervene in the panel on project financing and management of the risks. Guido Bortoni from Arera also participates and the conference closes with a speech by David Crippa, of the Ministry of Economic Development (the complete program).
THE HYDROELECTRIC SECTOR “IS STRONGLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE CONTENT OF THE DRAFT RES DM. This is "a particularly important segment in a balanced portfolio of incentives: in fact it contributes significantly to the achievement of energy policy objectives, both as regards Italian economic growth and as regards the increase of energy from renewable sources on the long period. In fact, for every euro dedicated to the hydroelectric sector, the oldest of the renewable sources, the impact on work and on the construction sector is high - the associations underline -. Furthermore, the mini-hydroelectric plants ensure a useful life of the post-incentive plant that no other source is able to guarantee, as well as production throughout the day”.
WITH THE NEW DM EXCLUDING 90% OF HYDROELECTRIC PLANTS READY FOR CONSTRUCTION
The new decree, if approved, "would exclude a large number, around 90%, of hydroelectric plants that can readily be built, already in possession of a concession and authorisation, which have in fact passed all the environmental assessments envisaged by national legislation and which moreover, they are already paying the concession fees requested starting from the assignment date”, warn Assimpidro, Elettricità Futura, Federidroelettrica and Utilitalia.
HERE IS THE REASON FOR THE POSSIBLE EXCLUSION
The reason for the prohibition was indicated by the Ministry of the Environment in the community pre-litigation (Pilot 6011/2014/ENVI) on the quality of water bodies, which has the purpose of verifying whether the Italian regulations relating to plants for the production of hydroelectric energy is adequate to achieve good status of the water body. The associations of the hydroelectric world believe that the Ministry of the Environment "has already satisfied the requests of the European Pilot through the issue, in February 2017, of the national Guidelines on ecological outflows and on the ex ante environmental assessment of derivations, which make the methods for assessing the impact of diversions on water bodies throughout the country. The current draft decree has, on the other hand, even reduced the presence of environmental quality elements of the plants among the criteria for selecting the projects awarded the incentive which therefore must be reconstituted". Finally, the associations conclude, "it should be noted that the quota reserved for the modernization of hydroelectric plants is absolutely insufficient to support the investments necessary to keep the national hydroelectric park efficient, functional and safe over time".
THE ASSOCIATIONS WISH FOR A REVIEW OF THE RULES
Assimpidro, Elettricità Futura, Federidroelettrica and Utilitalia therefore hope "that the Ministry of the Environment and the Ministry of Economic Development can promptly review their position, before bringing a supply chain to its knees which constitutes a model of widespread entrepreneurship and in harmony with the territory which the hydroelectric plants ensure an effective and widespread control”.
Caffese is able to put more desalinated water for pumping in every water-river basin but the ignorant fossils who block pumping do not understand that it saves the environment. In California, after many studies and MIT, they opt for pumping and nuclear power. The same in France and China itself confirms its large volumes with mixed pumping and nuclear balancing. We Italians can implement 3.000 TWh of pumping in 10 years for 100% renewables and no longer depend on foreign imports. If there are technical perplexities, that's enough ask but you cannot block the phs hydro or pumping which is a plan valid for 100 years. Anyone who talks about an imminent merger does not know what they are saying because it takes 30 years and those rich people who give money, a lot, including Eni, for a merger MIT have already failed 3 times. The fusion is done with petalaser and metals that can withstand the heat and to date these metals do not exist. In fact, seeing the fusion failures, the USA made a Consortium with a 30-year timing. We are with the pumping ready in 2 years and we can go on 100 years for 3.000 TWh at 10 euro MWh.
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-EIB and EBRD do not finance water infrastructure, pumping and water treatment as required by the new European directive on water.
-EIB and EBRD are lagging behind in financing energy coupling plans, storage and smart grids. Indeed, there is money for smart grid financing but projects are lacking. still gas to balance pressure from European and Italian gas lobbies
-Italy is asking the EIB-EBR for 45 billion over 10 years for the Water-Energy Plan, it is asking for 10 billion for the Genoa Development Plan, excluding the North Gronda but starting the new bridge, the Sea-Port Gronda and the renovation of the degraded district under the Polcevera bridge.
- A technical note: Large storage and network or grid balancing projects cannot be carried out by competitive auction but must be carried out by a state or consortium company as can be GSE in Italy given that oil and gas transport or power transport companies electricity like Terna have no interest in balancing with pumping and would only delay investments. Terna in Sicily has modernized the gas plant to balance which is absurd to me. Then on energy coupling, as in Germany, a decision and government funds are needed to switch to green chemistry. In Italy then a targeted action in the media by Eni-Snam and Tap tries to say that it is impossible to produce renewable methane from pumping and unfortunately the CNR is against my 45 billion project to make a crazy one of 1.000 billion, against the 380 billion of the California plan, the 450 billion of the German plan and 350 billion of the Grancia plan balanced not by gas but also by nuclear power and by the step that is pumping.
1. The Mise in the meeting of 25.9.18 in Rome should also hear the leading Italian and European energy experts who conceive energy 4.0 as the best driving force for industrial development. The proposals that are discussed in the energy decree and in the Energy SEN of Calenda are the dust on the beam, but a serious government must instead change the energy beam, which opposing interests in Rome will never change. If the Government does not discuss 100% renewables with energy coupling by 2035, it means that it is giving up 400 billion annual GDP of additive industry. In this Report I also underline some secrets such as the extreme economy of pumping, including marine ones, and the mistake of conceiving a network with solar and wind over 60% because it increases costs, while pumping causes them to decrease .15 years ago I made my first NORD-Po project and I see that it has been copied today from California with large phs hydro storages and 2 nuclear power plants. I didn't put nuclear power because it's forbidden here. Then we and Enel reason differently. Enel and Terna do pumping by buying French nuclear power at night but then use gravitational energy during peak hours to make profits. My reasoning is different if I don't have nuclear power, I pump every day, I integrate the water limited by rainfall or weather with desalinated sea water and I produce for 3.000 TWh with which I can balance without gas, 3 times as much, i.e. up to 9.000 TWh of European renewables. Balancing solar and wind with gas is a waste well hidden in the Calenda SEN for 110 TWh, which is the amount of the TAP.
2. Advantages of each Region to switch to 100% renewables. Caffese calculation of the additional GDP by Region and Employed (in billions of euro-millions of jobs).
Region Additional GDP Employed Investments per year x 10 years - in millions
-Piedmont-VA 63 400.000 400
-Lombardy 80 500.000 200
-Veneto 77 300.000 200
-Liguria 70 300.000 200
-EmiliaR 75 300.000 200
-TR-AA 60 200.000 400
-Tuscany 60 200.000 200
-UMAM 75 300.000 800
- Lazio 70 300.000 200
- Campania 70 300.000 200
- Puglia 80 400.000 200
- Basilicata 50 300.000 200
- Calabria 50 300.000 200
- Sicily 70 400.000 200
-Sardinia 70 400.000 200
- Differences to be paid by the State
-Tot.Ind-energy 4.0:
1000 billion 4.900.000 45 billion
Caffese proposes an industrial plan aggregating utilities of water-sea energy, sea supply chain, sea and water biofuels, decarbonisation via hydrogen and CO2 reuse, sea supply chain, waste using plasma to produce syngas or biomethane .by Pierluigi Caffese pcaffese@gmail.com 2020-30.
Mechanics and energy 4.0 + exports: mechanics 100 billion a year by 2020.
LOMBARDY ADDITIONAL GDP Traditional GDP
-Mechanical industry 100 billion 10
- clean energy and green chemical industry 125 billion 20
- sea supply chain 100 billion -
- forest/forest/mountain supply chain 100 billion 5
-20 regional competitiveness poles 25 billion 6
-traditional industry 350 billion
-10.000 innovative supply chains 200 billion 9
- total industrial GDP 2019 1.000 billion 50
-% share of GDP on Italy's GDP 33%
- GDP ITALY 2019 3000 billion
-employment 2019 + 800.000 jobs +100.000
-employment 2019 + 2 million jobs +200.000
-employment 2027 + 4 million jobs +400.000
In practice, by aggregating the 4 subsidiaries in the Lombardy Region and other companies in the Lombardy-Municipality of Milan perimeter, we can arrive at the future Lombardy aggregation for 50 billion in annual turnover.
Why future Lombardy?
Because in the next European budget 25% of the budget goes to the environment and we in Lombardy must be able to use these available funds with serious projects that do not contemplate fossil infrastructures as Calenda wanted in Rome.
Which companies should be included in the Lombardia Futura aggregation?
-A2A would be indispensable for renewable energy and waste plasma
-ATM for energy and clean fuel fleets. We also solve the problem of the MM aquifer with phs.
-CAP for the Acqua Lombardo plan and water treatment plants-constructed wetlands and Seveso floods.
-Explora expands the business from Lombard tourism, to river navigation, to food and wine tour packages and to my logistics hub project in Montichiari which primarily deals with all Lombardi products as if it were Amazon and then will be able to extend the business to all Regions
- Infrastrutture Lombarde expands the business from hospitals to 3 major projects the Water Plan at the North-Po which includes the Navigli plan and the Milan-Cremona, Po-Voltri canal and the Quantum Mi-Lab to be moved from post-Expo to Città studi with Polimi. The third project is to build 20 river marinas between the Po and the canals to collect the annual revenues from the rental of berths and commercial premises.
-Lombardia Informatica goes from a software purchasing center to real facial recognition planning, Quantum calculators with Polimi, Artificial Intelligence for Networks and Healthcare 4.0 with Polimi.
extension to other companies:
-The Region could decide to also include the 3 motorway companies, but in this case Caffese proposes to review the projects in an energy sense.
-The Region could also aggregate the various airports by permanently arranging Montichiari-Brescia which becomes the logistic hub of the products of the Lombardy Region in the world, a possibility which can then be extended to all the Italian Regions (see my project done at the time with Caprotti di esselunga in the Montichiari pole.
- Finlombarda expands the business a lot because it can broker the 20 billion loan requested from the EIB for the Po plan, then another 15 billion requested from the EIB for the extension of the Po plan towards Germany-Austria-Switzerland-Slovenia.
Letter to the President of the Lombardy Region and the Minister of Development.
"Based on my findings, I can say with greater confidence that there is no technical or economic barrier to transitioning the entire world to 100 percent clean, renewable energy with a stable, low-cost power grid," said Caffese. “This solution would go a long way towards eliminating global warming and the 4 million to 7 million air pollution-related deaths that occur worldwide each year, while also providing energy security.” My paper is based on a 2015 study presented by Jacobson and colleagues who examined the network's ability to remain stable across the contiguous 48 United States. This study included only one scenario on how to achieve the goals. Some have criticized my report for relying too much on adding pump turbines to existing hydroelectric dams – which the group has suggested to increase peak electricity generation without changing the number or size of dams or 3-5 dams on the Po but of low height. The previous report was also criticized for relying too much on storing excess energy in underground water, ice and rocks. The solutions in this paper address these criticisms by suggesting different solutions to stabilize the energy produced with clean and 100% renewable sources, including solutions without added water turbines and without storage in water, ice or rocks and using marine pumping from the Ligurian Sea, obviously desalination by osmosis or graphene. "Our main result is that there are different solutions to the problem," said Caffese. "This is important because the biggest obstacle to large-scale implementation of clean renewable energy is people's perception that it's too difficult to keep the lights on with random wind and solar power."
- GDP ITALY 2020 3000 billion
-employment 2020 + 800.000 jobs +100.000
-employment 2020 + 2 million jobs +200.000
-employment 2027-30 + 4 million jobs +400.000
4. The Mise should have a large screen and know how to match the 10.000 new industrial chains with potential jobs and give incentives only to priority chains by evaluating turnover and jobs. Instead it is concentrated only on old industrial chains, let's say 400 cases, to try to save old places decayed instead of directing the investment towards new lines. Then a government that clashes with everyone over dirty steel and gas decarbonization via Tap means that it is an old, obsolete, outdated Ministry where the lobbies who seek to ensure conspicuous are in control annuities, see Tap.AM-Ilva, other gas pipelines and dirty refineries. I also focused on digital defense applications to make it clear that innovation 4.0 changes old concepts in defense, for example it takes an overcoming alongside the best F 35 type aircraft but unfortunately I have to say that the Chinese have better aircraft with stealth steel. Just think that in my Ilva project I put special and stealth steels that AM does not produce.
5. Why is it important to reduce carcinogenic greenhouse gas emissions in both CO2 and methane?
Here are 4 things we will be looking for as leading renewable methane designers as we scale up the action of cancer-free clean renewable methane in 2018.
1. Setting the renewable methane target in the SEN whether or not Calenda wants it: 600 TWh of energy in hydroelectric pumping in 5 years and 3.000 TWh of energy in 10 years. Caffese has designed 2 large European waterways that allow permanent phs production in EU-27 on 7.000 TWh. For Italy today it has connected the 4 continental projects by connecting them to Sicily, while for Sardinia the project is independent but connected by gas pipeline. Practically it puts 30.000 water sites on the network so there can no longer be blackouts , floods and drought. Aeneas has to renege on the sentence against the Caffese project: there are no more sites since we have the sea and another 30.000.2. It means that in 5 years I produce 25 billion m3 of renewable methane and in 10 years 100 billion m3.
3. Moratorium on gas pipelines including Tap and Poseidon, i.e. it is forbidden to build them any government solicited by fossil lobbies and the Italian limit is 100 g CO2 x KWh. If the EU wants 750 g for Poland, the only exception is for the Poles, never never other countries and the incentives are given only to 100 gr.
4. to reach 125 billion in annual turnover. With renewable methane-biomethane-biogas and more efficient houses, Italy would never be afraid of running out of gas and could no longer build useless pipelines. last week was a reminder, if any were needed, of the central importance of energy efficiency. I trust I am cooking normally, said the energy minister. That's how the market works, industry experts said, as the wholesale price of gas soared 200% in the Calenda period that the country was facing a gas shortage. In other words, don't panic, nothing to see here. To some extent, they are right. In the short term, Italy was fine, despite huge cold-fueled demand that coincided with a series of supply disruptions. No domestic gas supply was cut off, and neither was Snam forced to ask industrial users to stop using gas. Unions and energy-intensive companies used the episode to request an urgent reassessment of the gas' storage capacity. gas in Italy, given that 70% of it is stored. But a new structure would cost up to 6 billion, and industry observers argue that the economics of construction no longer exist
Furthermore, former energy minister Calenda has made it unequivocal that taxpayer money will not be used to make the numbers work. “The government has no plans to directly support an increase in uneconomical gas storage in Italy,” he said, insisting that there was enough flexibility available through existing vessels and pipelines.
6. Comparison between the Eni-Snam fossil plan, the CNR renewable plan to 2050 but leaves the gas stationary and costs a disproportionate 1.000 billion.
In Italy there are 3 energy plans:
1. ENI-Snam fossil plan implemented in the SEN Energia: 90 billion annual fossil imports x 30 years = 2700; TAP waste of 30 billion in 2.000 years and 17 billion annual fossil incentives 17 x 30 years = 510 billion. The calculation of waste TAP is we buy Azeri/Russian gas x 20 billion annuallyX 30 years=600 billion.Eni and Snam double the price= 1200 billion+510 billion of fossil incentives=1710 billion+290 billion of concessions provided in the SEN x gas=2.000 billion waste.
I point out that imported gas is always paid on contracts protected by the capacity market (so if TAP does little work, the charges go into the bill), while water or sea used in pumping is not paid, only the infrastructure and the annual maintenance that I forecast at 2 billion x 100 years.
2. 1.000 billion CNR plan, too expensive and extra costs due to poorly calculated storage
3. Caffese Water Energy Plan 45 billion + 2 billion a year for maintenance x 100 years = 200 billion in pipes, alternators, pumping turbines, digital devices.
4.ADVANTAGES OF REDESIGNING SEN ENERGY ON THE GERMAN MODEL OF ENERGY COUPLING REVIEWED IN THE LIGHT OF PUMPING.
The GSE Group should be born which, similarly to the German Federal Network Agency (BNetzA), should approve the framework of scenarios for the national development plan of the electricity grid (NEP 2019-2030) presented by the various Italian transmission system operators ( TSO). The TSOs no longer have to produce grid development plans every year, but a common plan must be produced on a two-year to five-year basis. The scenario framework describes the expected development of electricity generation capacity and electricity consumption in the year 2030, using three different scenarios A, B, C. An additional scenario B 2035 describes the expected development in 2035. In contrast to the The latest framework In 2017-2030, not only four scenarios were approved, but also an additional intermediate scenario B 2025 with the target year 2025. It is to be used to verify the ad hoc measures presented by the TSOs to minimize the network expansion needs. The new Government must approve the following scenario Framework 2019-2030