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Brexit effect on Sunday's Spanish elections

Brexit will certainly also weigh on the Spanish elections on Sunday, both because it will push Catalan independence and because the vote is intertwined with the scandals involving Rajoy's party for old manipulations on the Catalan referendum and those concerning the financing of the Venezuelan regime of Chavez in Podemos

Brexit effect on Sunday's Spanish elections

With the Brexit storm in full swing, attention returns to the Peripherals and to the polls dedicated to yet another attempt to form a government in Spain. And a few days before the June 26 elections, Prime Minister Rajoy's Popular Party (PP) led the ranking with 30,5%, but the scandal involving Interior Minister Diaz following telephone interceptions risks reducing the final result .

Even if the facts are two years old and refer to electoral maneuvers in the run-up to the Catalan independence referendum. Precisely that referendum that was canceled thanks to the appeal presented by Rajoy himself. The starting point for a frontal attack was too easy for the leader of Podemos Iglesias who, with his protest party, is tailing the PP with 25% of the votes. He was joined in the harsh criticisms by the leader of the socialists of the PSOE Sanchez, third in the polls with 21,2%, and also by the leader of the Ciudadanos Party, which now stands at 14,1%.

But there is another much more serious scandal that has been emerging for some time now and concerns the funding received by prominent Podemos representatives from the Venezuelan government of Chavez from 2003 to 2011. In this case the debate is intensifying after Podemos overtook the Psoe, which until a few months ago was the main opposition party to the PP.

While awaiting clarifications from Podemos, we should reflect on the fact that this party voted against a motion which called for the release of the opponents of the current president Maduro and called for government authorization to be obtained for the supply of humanitarian aid, much needed in a moment of real economic and humanitarian tragedy for Venezuela.

Ciudadanos with its centrist position, on the other hand, proves to be decidedly more coherent and in sharp contrast with the extremist positions of Podemos. But that's not enough because in January other "dangerous relationships" had already emerged, always relating to funding from Iran as well as meetings organized thanks to Maduro with ETA representatives and figures very close to the Colombian Farc.

So Venezuelan issues are constantly in all the Spanish newspapers and the ways in which the parties are dealing with these foreign policy issues could make the real difference on the outcome of the vote. It is no coincidence that in recent days Iglesias has distanced himself, with very little convincing, from the Maduro government, having to consolidate the consensus he has gathered, and after Rivera has returned victorious from a trip of solidarity with political prisoners in Venezuela.

A "grand" coalition between PP, PSOE with Ciudadanos would oust and give the final blow to Podemos despite the already failed attempts by Sanchez last April.

But now with the outcome of the Brexit referendum and the expected domino effect on the financial markets and beyond, after Cameron's resignation we will see Scotland's request for EU membership and, on the other hand, the animosity from Eurosceptic European parties which have grown like mushrooms in recent years.

And all of this will inevitably have an impact on the outcome of these elections and will radically change the outcome because times are tight and scarce to metabolise such a complex event in terms of economic and political effects.

During the Brexit campaign we have repeatedly heard the accusations against Italy by the supporters of the Leave and so in the next round of 2016 of the XNUMX European Championships two important pawns of this European domino will meet for a football match in an atmosphere that few had prefigured could hit the EU on such a scale. Have a good game everyone.

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