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Crisis at the crossroads: Conte-ter or Ursula majority

Conte continues his frantic search for defectors to avoid the Government's parliamentary rejection on the Bonafede report on Wednesday but Tabacci warns: "We need a Conte-ter to attract those responsible" - But the prime minister niche on his resignation - If Conte fails, the Ursula majority (with Iv and Fi) can become a hypothesis of political turning point

Crisis at the crossroads: Conte-ter or Ursula majority

The challenge in Parliament on justice and the Bonafede report looms and Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte is desperately looking for new defectors to shore up his shaky majority. The next few hours or days will be decisive for understanding whether a group of pro-Conte "managers" can be born or not. But Bruno Tabacci, a long-time politician and leader of the Democratic Center destined to welcome a large part of the "responsible", was very clear: "The "responsible" operation can be successful but we need a new government led by Conte". That is, Conte needs to resign and build a more solid government - the Conte-ter - capable of attracting the "responsible" more easily because it has a longer duration and because it is an alternative to early elections. But for now Conte doesn't feel like resigning because he fears ambushes in the later stages of the crisis.

The "responsible" track with Conte at the head of his third government remains the first working hypothesis for now and both the Five Stars and the Democratic Party rule out a reconciliation with Matteo Renzi, who proposes to return to politics and to create a far-reaching government, but the situation is in motion and everything can change rapidly, also because in the Democratic Party - with the Northern branch of Bonaccini, Gori, Nardella in the lead - there are signs of intolerance towards the crushing of Conte and even more on the possibility of early elections, seen as smoke screens even by the Five Stars.

This is why, if the Conte-ter did not take off, other scenarios would appear and the hypothesis of giving life, as in Europe, to a government with an Ursula majority, that is formed by Pd, Cinque Stelle, Leu and open to Italia Viva and Forza Italia or at least to a part of it. The polls circulating on a possible electoral list of Conte, to which SWG attributes between 12 and 15% of the votes, 40% of which are captured by the Democratic Party as well as by the Five Stars, are also starting to weigh heavily on the reflections of the Democratic Party. In conclusion Conte has four days time to avoid the parliamentary rejection of his government on Bonafede and to say that a quiet weekend of fear awaits us is an understatement.

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