It will be a hectic weekend that begins today and on which the fate of the government on which Parliament will pronounce between Monday and Tuesday will depend. It is a crucial passage from inside or outside: for Conte and for Renzi.
If Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte wins in Parliament, he unseats Renzi, stays in the saddle, governs and can start organizing himself to stand for election at the right time. But he too risks everything and to win he must find the numbers. Conte is looking for a majority without Italia Viva: an easier operation in the Chamber than in the Senate, where – according to last night's rumors – he still lacks 10 senators compared to the quorum of 161 votes to have an absolute majority in Palazzo Madama, even if fewer are enough to gain trust . Especially since in the last few hours Matteo Salvini's counter-offensive has taken shape, who is trying to capture four disappointed senators from the Five Stars.
Above all, the prime minister tries to seduce the UDC senators and to offer a way out (that is, government posts, sub-government posts and promises of re-elections) to the most dubious among Renzian senators. The next few hours could be decisive but anything could still happen, not excluding an extremis mending between Pd and Renzi who, in fact, to lay bare the weakness of Conti's search operation for the so-called “responsible” (whom some call new Scilipoti) and to keep his group united, he contemplates an unsettling move, namely abstention on the Government at the time of the vote in Parliament.
Be that as it may, after Renzi's snatch with his exit from the government and the very harsh accusations of "unreliability" that not only Conte but above all the Democratic Party and the Five Stars made against him, the time for reason seems to be starting to make its way. And above all it seems to make everyone understand – even those in the Democratic Party, how the deputy secretary Andrea Orlando is obsessed with hatred towards Renzi – that the real problem is not putting together a ragged and heterogeneous majority in the Senate but finding a solid majority that is really capable of governing for the entire legislature. This is why, after the anger of the first hour, everything can be said about Renzi but not that his findings on the Recovery Fund, on the Mes and on the need to forcefully resume the path of reforms, as Europe asks us, do not have a foundation.
The other day a political figure far from Renzi wrote it on Facebook like the former socialist leader Claudio Martelli and who knows what her words did not even reach the ears of a hesitant Renzian socialist like Riccardo Nencini. And today an innovative financier like Gianni Tamburi, the founder and number one of Tip, says it even more clearly. in the interview released to FIRSTonline, warns the Government that it is necessary to know how to spend the billions of the Recovery Fund with full knowledge of the facts and that on this "Renzi has not one but a thousand reasons: it is an objective fact that he has given a big hand in recent months to prevent everything from ending up in current expenditure or basic income for criminals".
We will see over the weekend but above all between Monday and Tuesday in the Chambers if the weather has brought advice or if the Conte-Renzi clash will be without return.
