What opens today in Great Britain is a decisive week for the Brexit. At the center of the clash between the conservative prime minister, Boris Johnson, and the opposition is the no-deal law passed last Friday by Parliament. If London and Brussels will not reach a new agreement by 19 October (more than probable hypothesis), the provision will require the Prime Minister to ask Europe a new three-month postponement for the farewell of the United Kingdom to the Union, moving the official date of the divorce from 31 October to 31 January 2020.
The goal is of course to prevent the so-called Hard Brexit, i.e. the exit of Great Britain from the EU without an agreement that cushions the blow. Indeed, a report from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development showed that an uncontrolled Brexit would cost the British 16,6 billion pounds only in failed exports to the EU.
Johnson but he doesn't agree and continues to insist on the need to leave the Union on 31 October, with or without an agreement, whatever the cost. In order to achieve this goal, the Premier is also compromising the cohesion of his own party: about twenty conservative deputies opposed to the no deal Brexit (including his brother Jo) have already left him, depriving him of the parliamentary majority.
Today opens with the definitive go-ahead from the Queen to the anti-no-deal law. In the same hours, Johnson will put a vote in Westminster a new motion to call for early elections on October 15th, after failing a similar attempt last week.
The plan is clear: to form a new majority to have the strength to repeal the anti-no-deal law. If we really went back to the polls, this would be the most probable outcome, considering what the latest polls show the Conservative Party at 35%, even 14 percentage points above Labour by Jeremy Corbyn.
It all happens a a few hours after the closure of the British Parliament for the so-called Extension, 5-week suspension requested and obtained by Johnson. Westminster will reopen its doors on 14 October, two weeks before the Brexit deadline.
Meanwhile, grappling with the formation of the new European Commission, the Community bodies are not taking a position on the chaos that reigns in London. On the other hand, the French Foreign Minister, Jean-Yves Le Drian, rejected the hypothesis of a new postponement for Brexit.
